What to Expect: Maryland

  • 03/04/2016 12:49 pm in

Indiana concludes the regular season schedule on Sunday afternoon at Assembly Hall with a Senior Day matchup against Maryland. The Terrapins, ranked No. 14 in the latest Associated Press top 25 poll, are 24-6 and 12-5 in Big Ten play.

The game will be broadcast at 4:30 p.m. ET with Ian Eagle, Bill Raftery and Tracy Wolfson on the call:

The Big Ten regular season championship already belongs to Indiana, but the Hoosiers still have plenty to play for on Sunday in Bloomington.

It’s Senior Day at Assembly Hall, which means Yogi Ferrell, Ryan Burton, Nick Zeisloft, Max Bielfeldt and Jackson Tharp will suit up for the final time in front of the Hoosier faithful and deliver speeches postgame. But IU can’t afford to get wrapped up in the emotion of the day. There are legitimate NCAA tournament seeding implications on the line for Indiana if it can beat Maryland and secure a sixth top 50 RPI win.

Maryland, on the other hand, is also playing for NCAA tournament position as well as seeding in the Big Ten tournament. A win in Bloomington, combined with a Wisconsin loss in West Lafayette, would give the Terps the No. 3 seed in Indianapolis and a loss would put them in the No. 4 spot.

After a season which started with several low points that have now been mostly forgotten due to a turnaround that led to an outright Big Ten championship, March is here and every game now matters even more.

MEET THE TERRAPINS (all stats are for conference games only unless otherwise noted)

The Maryland attack is led by point guard Melo Trimble, the league’s preseason player of the year who has struggled at times in his sophomore season.

Trimble leads the Terps in scoring in league games at 14.5 points per game, but is shooting just 44.7 percent on 2s and 29.2. percent on 3s. He’s still one of the best at getting fouled in the league with a 41.2 percent free throw rate (FTA/FGA) and is knocking down 86.6 percent of his attempts from the line.

A big part of Trimble’s game on offense is making plays as the pick-and-roll ball handler. According to Synergy Sports, he’s scored 150 points on 171 such possessions this season, which ranks him in the 76th percentile nationally. After posting three straight awful performances against Wisconsin, Minnesota and Michigan, Trimble has played much better in Maryland’s last two games against Purdue (19 points) and Illinois (18 points).

His running mate in the backcourt, Rasheed Sulaimon, is a streaky shooter who can fill it up when he gets hot. Sulaimon is 42.6 percent on 3s in Big Ten play, which ranks ninth in the league, but just 43.8 percent on 2s. His 11.6 points per game rank fourth on the team, which speaks to Maryland’s balance offensively.

Sophomore reserve Jared Nickens is a 6-foot-7 wing shooter who may finally be finding his touch. Nickens is just 28.1 percent on 3s in conference play, but is 9-of-16 over Maryland’s last three games. Sophomore point guard Jaylen Brantley is Trimble’s backup who plays just 8.2 minutes per game.

Maryland’s frontline size is imposing as they go with senior Jake Layman (6-foot-9), junior Robert Carter (6-foot-9) and freshman Diamond Stone (6-foot-11) as the starters.

Layman has been very efficient this season and is knocking down close to 40 percent on 3s and 60 percent on 2s against Big Ten foes. Carter is more physical than Layman, but brings similar production from an efficiency standpoint. Carter, one of Trimble’s favorite options to find in the pick-and-roll, is hitting 37.5 percent of his 3s and 58.5 percent of his 2s. He’s a solid, but not great rebounder on both ends with a 7.6 OR% and a 19.4 DR%.

Stone is another favorite of Trimble’s in the pick-and-roll and is the Big Ten’s sixth best offensive rebounder. His 13.8 points per game rank second on the Terps in league play and he’s making 55.8 percent of his 2s. Junior Damonte Dodd is Stone’s backup after starting last season.



Maryland owns the Big Ten’s best defense, but the Terps aren’t always great defensively away from the XFinity Center. In three of their four Big Ten road losses, they’ve given up more than 1.12 points per possession and were most recently torched for 1.26 points per trip at Purdue.

Still, the overall body of work deserves recognition as Maryland is first in 3-point percentage defense, second in 2-point percentage defense and has the highest defensive block percentage in Big Ten games.

Like Indiana, Maryland has been turnover prone, but where these teams really differ is on the glass. Indiana is the Big Ten’s third best offensive rebounding team and its second best defensive rebounding team, while Maryland ranks just 12th in defensive rebounding percentage and eighth in offensive rebounding percentage. So even if Maryland can get stops, Indiana should have its chance to exploit the Terps with second chance points.

Maryland also doesn’t force many turnovers, which is very similar to Purdue, another very good defensive team. The Boilermakers came to Assembly Hall giving up just 1.01 points per trip on average in Big Ten games and the Hoosiers scored 1.24 points per possession on them. A big reason for that performance was Indiana turning it over just four times.


KenPom likes Indiana by six with a 71 percent chance of a victory and the Sagarin prediction is Indiana by five.

There will be some tough matchups defensively for Indiana in this game, particularly if Robert Johnson remains sidelined with an ankle injury. Indiana has proven it can compete with the league’s best size, but you can be sure that Maryland’s ball screen heavy offense is going to look to exploit IU’s defense.  The Hoosiers will need to be excellent with their switches and recoveries when hedging.

After a win at Iowa and an outright Big Ten title, Indiana is playing with extreme confidence as it looks defend homecourt one last time with Ferrell running the show. Assembly Hall should also be at a fever pitch in terms of energy and noise.

This team also appears to be very focused on the present as Tom Crean’s postgame speech in Iowa City immediately shifted to getting the job done on Sunday rather than the regular season title. Can the Hoosiers carry out his proclamation that there’s no way IU’s seniors won’t walk out with their heads held extremely high?

(Photo credit: Patrick Smith/Getty Images North America)

Filed to:

  • ForeverIU

    We’re stuck with another JBJ nursing job. Why would Rawle be interested in us?

  • IU Hoosiers # 34, 1979-83

    That was fast! Why wouldn’t he be interested in us?

  • On that specific note, check out the Iowa game. After the possession immediately following Yogi’s three, TW ran half the length of the floor to congratulate Yogi. It caught my eye, so I watched it a couple of times in a row. Those two are close right now (which can be said about the entire team, of course, and it’s one of the things that has me so excited).

  • I tend to agree. I wouldn’t want IU to become another Kentucky with entire teams fabricated from one-and-dones. I don’t like the pro game for many reasons, and wouldn’t want IU to turn into nothing but an NBA farm team. I’m an IU fan because of the great kids and clean program and melding of student-athlete, not just because i have visions of national championships dancing in my head.

    That said, I have no problem with a team full of solid college players and then one awesome kid (awesome in the sense of talent plus just being a good kid generally) to come along and take them over the top.

  • What I want to see is the team approaching this game like any other, with the sole intent of winning the game. Yogi and CTC have stressed their “everyday” attitude, that is, to play as well as they can each day and each game without concerning themselves with upcoming games or other incidentals. IMO, That’s the attitude that will serve the team best going into the tourneys, and it’s the attitude that’s contributed to things like winning at Iowa.

    I think if they _do_ play with that attitude, Senior Night emotions and such aside, they’ll be in the best position to honor all of the seniors at various natural points throughout the game–including at the end, where hopefully they’re winning going away. Tactics like starting the seniors that result in falling behind by 15 and then ending on a bad note isn’t something I really want to contemplate.

  • SilentBob

    His name is Devonte and he is a pit bull that you will come to love with time and healing lol

  • Kwang

    “Unpack your bags!”

  • BL

    Hope it ain’t so but TB could be one of those kids.

  • Shhhh! He’ll be back. I refuse to consider any other possibility.

  • BL

    Yeah, I remember that scene well. Also, YF and TW walking to the victors locker room together with big smiles on their faces.

  • BL


  • Why don’t you just toss in some ladders to walk under and some mirrors to break while you’re at it? Yeesh! 🙂

  • BL


  • BL

    How about we win it all he goes, otherwise he returns.

    Actually, I’m guessing the NBA scouts probably perked up when he started knocking down three’s.

  • SilentBob

    If we lose TB I will be distraught lol. Not surprising though, given the uncoachable wingspan and motor. Would be a bad idea in my mind. Never thought it a good idea to leave the level your at before dominating it.

  • SilentBob

    CuJo is legit. Quick and deadly. His body has come along nicely but is still pretty far off. Wish we were in a position to red shirt him a year. Saw him listed as 6’5 at Huntington Prep invitational. Don’t quite believe that, but he does seem to have gotten a little taller.

  • BL

    Per his presser, Coach’s injury updates were as follows:

    1. Regarding RJ: …. he’s doing a little more … from time to time … trying to progress … rehabbing he’s doing everything as diligently as he can … still dealing with a high ankle sprain.

    2. Regarding JM: … limited amount of practice yesterday … was much better today.

    No specific comments regarding playing against Mary but I would guess – no for RJ; maybe for JM but limited minutes.

  • BL

    Yeah, I remember coach saying he had grown. Really like his shooting motion. They’ll get him pumped up quick the way they go at the strength and condition program. Welcome to the sand pit CuJo ???

  • BL

    I’m with ya. Hate this one-and-done era. Hope sometime soon they institute the NCAA football or baseball rules for basketball.

  • ForeverIU

    Because we’re congested at the guard positions?

  • BL

    Lot of discussion, and rightfully so, about Yogi and his last game in an IU uniform at AH. After watching the players’ presser, I’m reminded MB and NZ are playing their last game as well. Some very big shoes to fill next year. If TB stays, DD will be a nice fill in for MB. Found myself wondering who will replace Nick. NZ is definitely one of the purest shooters we’ve seen in an IU uniform (reminded of Jay Edwards as I write this).

  • BL

    JM’s tweet when OG signed with IU – Congrats to my boy @OAnunoby on committing today. We gonna be hoopin it up together at IU!!!! #HoosierNation – I’d say that was prophetic.

  • Koko

    No just his comment that Ferguson had decommited Alabama and wondering if TC will possibly go after him.

  • Is this the first time it’s been confirmed as a high ankle sprain by someone official? Because that definitely sucks.

  • I guess really I’m just going to enjoy the rest of the season and then worry about who stays and goes. It’ll be whatever it’ll be, and we’ll go from there, I suppose.

  • BL

    Yes, I believe that’s the first official reference to “high ankle sprain”.

  • Suddenly I’d be concerned about him playing in the NCAA tourney, let alone Sunday and even the BTT.

  • BL

    Back when he was first reported in a boot, I said he’d probably return for the BIG tourney and was hoping no later than the NCAA tourney. I know boot use is more common these days but I wasn’t buying they’d use one for a minor sprain.

  • Ole Man

    He’ll go to the “camps”, but yeah, he’s graduating so he’s as good as gone.

  • John Walker

    Don’t need this game sit starters no need to risk injuries.Lord knows we have had too many!What would a win really do for us?I think our seed in the tourney is pretty much set.Unless we actually win the big ten tourney! Which is highly unlikely!