2012-2013 ITH season preview: Northwestern Wildcats

With the college basketball season on the horizon, we’ll be taking a long look at the conference at large as well as Indiana’s roster over the next few weeks. Today, we look at the Northwestern Wildcats.

It’s the question the program finally seemed ready to break through on the last two seasons: Is this the year the Wildcats finally make the NCAA Tournament?

But it was not to be.

Northwestern finished a respectable 20-14 in 2010-11, but notched only a 7-11 conference record, finishing eighth in the Big Ten. Washington State bounced the Wildcats out of the NIT in the third round. Last season, it was a near identical script: 19-14 overall, 8-10 in conference (tie for seventh place), and an exit from the NIT in the second round.

This year likely doesn’t come with such hopes in Evanston. Gone is sharpshooter Jon Shurna — an absolute workhorse for Bill Carmody last season. He played 92.2% of available minutes — including nearly all 40 against Indiana in Bloomington in February, a game he scored 29 points and kept the Wildcats within striking distance before falling 71-66. Shurna wasn’t selected in either round of the NBA Draft, but after a summer league stint,  he signed a partially-guaranteed deal with the Knicks earlier this month. The Knicks reportedly have 16 players coming to training camp — an NBA roster size is 15 — so it’s yet to be determined if he’ll stick in New York.

The Wildcats also lost senior center Luka Mirkovic. While Mirkovic was no fringe NBA talent like Shurna, he did play a pesky enforcer role for the Wildcats up front and was the team’s top defensive rebounder (17.7 DR%). Those two facets may not be immediately replaceable for Carmody.

Still, Northwestern figures to stay somewhat competitive this season.

Guard Drew Crawford returns for his senior season. Crawford snagged third team Big Ten honors last season and sported an eFG% of 55.9 — a mark identical to Shurna’s. Guard Alex Marcotullio is back for his senior season, and he should help buoy the loss of Shurna from the outside; he shot a strong 41.3% from beyond the arc in 2011-12. The Wildcats also return Dave Sobolewski to the backcourt, who had a promising freshman season. He played and started in all 33 of Northwestern’s games a year ago. Jarod Swopshire joins the team after transferring from Louisville with immediate eligibility, and he’s a potential starter for the squad. Reggie Hearn and JerShon Cobb should see minutes as well.

The Wildcats welcome freshmen Sanjay Lumpkin (guard), Kale Abrahamson (forward) and Alex Olah (center) this fall, and it’s possible Olah may need to pick up some of the minutes left behind by Mirkovic’s departure. (Preferred walk-on Aaron Liberman could also help out up front, as could transfer Nikola Cerina.)

Bottom Line: The Wildcats sport a strong backcourt and some solid depth, and it figures to keep them in enough games. But it likely won’t be enough for them to vault themselves out of the bottom half of the Big Ten or into the NCAA Tournament. Under Tom Crean, the Hoosiers have had some rough losses at Welsh-Ryan Arena, but the Jan. 20 bout in Evanston could see a more favorable result for the cream and crimson this time around.

Quotable:  “Reggie started probably every game last year and maybe he’ll be the seventh man,” Northwestern coach Bill Carmody hinting about his squad’s added depth this coming season to the Chicago Tribune’s Teddy Greenstein.

Previously: Nebraska

  • hoosierdaddynow

    Hearn’s a good kid from Fort Wayne (Snider) who lost to Hulls in the state championship a few years ago. Hope he does well.

  • jahhoosier

    Good as Shurna was…and he was as much an example of a kid that was really good who makes you think “How is that kid so good?” as I’ve seen in a long time…I don’t know that Northwestern takes too much of a step back. They’ll be different without him, but they add some solid pieces and might end up just as good.

    The problem is that the B10 is even better than the last couple years and being just as good as Northwestern has been the last couple years will not be good enough for an NCAA berth.

    Which is a darn shame. As these conferences get bigger, it’s making even a 68-team NCAA field too small. It is essential for a host of reasons that every conference receive an auto bid, but, in combination with larger conferences, it’s creating an unfair situation in which too many good teams are sidelined while too many mediocre teams make it in.

  • Devin S.

    Last season, the wildcats were often playing only 6 guys due to injuries, etc. They’ve got depth this year.

    Cobb was good enough to be a starter when he was healthy, and Marcotullio started for the UK national team, but wasn’t healthy most of last season. Also, Nikola Cerina is going to start somewhere – he was a force for TCU before he transferred. You didn’t even mention that last year’s expected starter at point, Tre Demps is coming off a medical redshirt year, and that the Wildcats picked up yet another 7-footer in Chier Ajou.

    Carmody’s a solid offensive coach, and will have more options than he’s ever had before. Do they make to the NCAA’s without Shurna? I dunno. The defense has to improve A LOT, but they’ve got size and depth this time around.

  • Evansville Hoosier

    I saw Hanner walking on campus near the art museum… What do I say to these guys when I walk by them?! Ha, “good luck this year”?

  • jaywiz

    I heard marcotulio was applying for AARP benefits.

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