NCAA Selection Sunday primer: IU sweating out tourney fate

  • 03/15/2015 12:06 pm in

After a 1-1 split in Chicago at the Big Ten tournament that included a win over Northwestern and a loss to Maryland, Indiana still finds itself squarely on the bubble for the NCAA tournament.

The bracket will be revealed tonight at 6 p.m. ET on CBS, but we’ve compiled everything you need to know in one place in our Selection Sunday primer:


If Indiana makes the tournament, it will be on the strength of its overall schedule and some key wins over other teams that will be in the field. The Hoosiers have wins over Butler, SMU, Ohio State and Maryland, four teams that are solidly in the tournament. IU has two wins over the RPI top 25, four over the RPI top 50 and eight over the top 100.

Working against Indiana is its volume of losses (13), although only one of those losses came to a team not projected to make the field in Northwestern. IU avenged that loss convincingly on a neutral court at the Big Ten tournament. The Hoosiers also picked up seven of their nine conference wins over the bottom half of the Big Ten.

Nitty Gritty Profile

· Record: 20-13 (9-9 Big Ten)
· RPI: 60
· SOS: 26 (via CBS)
· Home Record: 15-4
· Away Record: 3-6
· Neutral Court Record: 2-3
· vs. RPI Top 50: 4-9 (via CBS)
· vs. RPI Top 51-100: 4-3 (via CBS)

A look at the bubble

Here’s a look at the profiles of the 14 teams ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has competing for eight at-large spots. If Connecticut beats SMU today in the American Conference championship game, only seven spots will be available:


If the committee puts a heavy emphasis on the RPI, Indiana’s position isn’t strong. However, from a strength of schedule and wins against the RPI top 50 and RPI 51-100, the Hoosiers compete very favorably in this group.

Current Projections

· ESPN Bracketology (Joe Lunardi): First team out
· CBS Sports (Jerry Palm): 11 seed in South Region vs. Colorado State in Dayton (First Four game)
· Assembly Call (Andy Bottoms): 11 seed in Midwest Region vs. Ole Miss in Dayton (First Four game)
· Crashing the Dance: No. 39 overall seed (Third No. 10 seed)
· Bracket Matrix: Fourth 11 seed (Last team in)

When Indiana was 15-4 following an 89-70 trouncing of Maryland on Jan. 22, the Hoosiers appeared to be a lock for inclusion in the tournament. But the Hoosiers dropped nine of their last 14 games and plummeted from a projected No. 6 or No. 7 seed all the way to the bubble.

While the Hoosiers certainly have a case to be included in the tournament, they also won’t have much of an argument if they don’t make the field. At 15-4, all Indiana needed to do was finish the final stretch of the regular season at .500 or a little better and this wouldn’t even be a discussion. Limping to the finish line put this team’s fate in the hands of the selection committee and there’s no way to predict what a group of individuals in a room will do after days of deliberating various resumes.

And if Indiana is actually the last team in the field as of this writing, it could ultimately come down to what happens later today with Connecticut.

2015 Tournament Sites 

· First four: Dayton
· Second, third round: Charlotte, Columbus, Louisville, Jacksonville, Omaha, Pittsburgh, Portland, Seattle
· Regional: Cleveland, Houston, Los Angeles, Syracuse
· Final Four: Indianapolis

Filed to:

  • IUfanToby


  • Hoosier_DC

    So who are we rooting for to lose/win today?

  • The only game of relevance for IU today is UConn-SMU.

    If UConn wins, it will take away an at-large spot as SMU will go from automatic qualifier to at-large.

  • thefullmonty

    The IU team that played in December is definitely in the NCAA.
    The IU team that played in February-March is left home.

  • SilentBob

    By the looks of it id say IU has the third best resume here. Yes we have the most quality wins but we also have the most attempts vs top 50 teams outside of Texas. If we get in I think we should send a nice thank you card to Butler because that’ll be the difference maker to me. However if this were North Carolina or Arizona in our position I’d be rooting for the committee to put teams like Temple and Murray State over us. Just saying I’m pretty sure everyone’s favorite thing about March, outside of watching their team, is watching the mid majors upset the big boys.

  • SoCal Hoosier

    I get that we didn’t do anything to help ourselves down the stretch, but you’ve got to look beyond the simple W/L and look at competitiveness. We had some ugly games, yes, but so did Temple (20 point losses to Duke and Villanova and a 31 point beatdown vs. Cincinnati of all teams). 2 point losses to EWU, MSU, and Maryland, as well as a shot to win vs. Purdue and an OT loss to Georgetown – all 5 tournament teams – means we were that close to 25-8. Not saying we’d have won all of those, but we certainly proved we could compete with almost any team not seeded 2 or higher.

  • Ron Swanson

    and a shot to win in that Maryland loss too.

  • Joe Hyland

    Also want Kentucky to lose, to be fair.

  • Michael Rizzo

    Close counts in horseshoes and hand grenades, I will have plenty of bourbon on hand to toast our top 5 seed in the NIT. We just didn’t close. Too erratic, and consistency wins the day. Even if we dumped to every ranked team and beat those we continually should have (n’western, Iowa, e Washington, it would have looked more favorably than never knowing which team would show up on any given night.
    The kids hustled the past few games, but a day late.
    Hate to be negative-but for some reason the BIG 10 is looked at as a second tier. Right wrong or indifferent-I even suffered through the MW final that was virtually unwatchable. A decent HS team could have smoked either-Wyoming is dancing and we are decorating the gym for prom.????

  • Hoosier Hall

    Lol! But that’s any day they play.

  • Aceman_Mujezinovic_07

    I like IU’s SOS and their record against the top 50 compared to the rest of these teams but that road record, neutral court record, and RPI (which is confusing with the strong SOS and the record against the RPI top 50).

    Here’s what worries me: I watch games and get the feeling that CTC is NOT a well-liked coach amongst his peers and even officials. I have a feeling that IU is left out today because of Tom Crean’s lack of popularity.

    Just my gut . . . we shall see. I HOPE THE HOOSIERS ARE IN THE DANCE THOUGH!!!

  • I know that things are going to get ugly fast if IU doesn’t get into the tournament, and I get that. Folks are going to be upset, and I admit that I’ll be one of them. However, if IU does get in, I hope that everyone can support the team through the tournament, however long it lasts. Leave the negativity for after the kids are done playing.

  • SCHoosier

    Lot of good information on this ordeal. Guess around is what it is!

  • Go mustangs!

  • Michael Rizzo

    Holy crap

  • Missing Moye

    We have to beat Kansas AND Kentucky to make the Final Four? We got robbed!