Bracketology Archive

Bracketology: Final NCAA tournament projection

Richmond’s win in the A-10 title game bumped a team from the field, but this will be my final set of projections. Before looking at the one seeds, here’s a quick reminder about how the NCAA selection committee classifies wins ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of March 13, 2022

There are just five automatic bids left to be handed out on Sunday, but you can be sure that every bubble team will be rooting on Davidson to take down Richmond in the A-10 since the Spiders are the lone ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of March 12, 2022

As we head into the weekend, there are still 20 more automatic bids to be handed out, with 15 of those coming throughout the day on Saturday. And while there are a handful of bubble teams who have picked up ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of March 11, 2022

The Thursday of championship week tends to be when things start to get crazy, and yesterday was no exception. We saw one of the projected one seeds lose in their conference tournament opener. We saw IU come back from 17 ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of March 10, 2022

Even though only one automatic bid was handed out on Wednesday, it was certainly an eventful day on the bubble, as Wake Forest and Xavier both dropped overtime games in their respective conference tournaments. Other notable results included Virginia Tech ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of March 9, 2022

Six more automatic bids were handed out on Tuesday, including one that was given to a team who didn’t even play in its conference championship game, as Bellarmine’s win in the A-Sun gave regular season champ Jacksonville State the chance ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of March 8, 2022

Championship Week is underway with five teams already earning automatic bids, including Georgia State and Chattanooga, who punched its ticket in dramatic fashion on Monday night. Tuesday brings six more conference championship games as the Atlantic Sun, Colonial, Horizon, Northeast, ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of March 1, 2022

Following a historically chaotic weekend of college hoops, things have tightened up a bit in the race for one seeds, and at this point it feels like there are seven (maybe eight) teams in the mix. Despite a loss at ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of February 22, 2022

While there weren’t any surprise teams included in the NCAA Selection Committee’s reveal of the Top 16 teams on Saturday, there were a few interesting takeaways. • Placing Gonzaga as the top overall seed certainly suggests that the committee is ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of February 15, 2022

With the NFL season complete and less than four weeks until Selection Sunday, the committee will reveal its top 16 overall seeds on Saturday afternoon. This comes a week later than normal given the extended NFL season, but this always ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of February 8, 2022

With a few teams really struggling of late, it’s a good time to remind everyone that the committee doesn’t give extra weight to the last 10 or 12 games as they did up until the late 2000s. So even though ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of February 1, 2022

Among the challenges for the NCAA tournament selection committee is the task of evaluating teams whose predictive and results-based metrics tell conflicting stories. This season features a pair of notable teams with a slew of quality wins but middling predictive ...

Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of January 25, 2022

It’s hard to believe there are less than seven weeks until Selection Sunday, but here we are. I got a number of questions last week related to why I seeded IU as low as I did, so I wanted to ...