Bracketology watch: Where IU basketball stands for NCAA tournament after Minnesota win

Photos from IU basketball's 77-47 win against Minnesota at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall.

With Selection Sunday 10 days away, we’ll periodically examine where IU basketball stands in bracketology projections. The full 2026 NCAA tournament field will be revealed on Sunday, March 15, 2026.

Indiana basketball is 18-12 overall and 9-10 in the Big Ten with one regular-season game remaining.

Here’s a look at current bracketology projections and where the Hoosiers stand, along with their current resume:

Quad 1: 2-10
Quad 2: 3-2
Quad 3: 6-0
Quad 4: 7-0

KPI: 63 (up three spots from last update)
Strength of Record: 46 (up two spots from last update)
WAB (Wins Above Bubble): 48 (up three spots from last update)
BPI: 33 (up four spots from last update)
KenPom: 41 (up two spots from last update)
NET ranking: 37 (up three spots from last update)
Bart Torvik: 28 (up seven spots from last update)

The Hoosiers have one regular season game remaining and their KenPom win probability for that contest is below:

Saturday, March 7 at Ohio State: 33 percent chance of an IU win

The most recent bracketology update from Andy Bottoms is available here. Andy will have an updated bracket next week.

ESPN.com, Joe Lunardi

Lunardi’s latest update came via social media early Thursday afternoon and he has the Hoosiers as the second to last team in the field.

The last four in are Santa Clara, SMU, Indiana and New Mexico and the first four out are VCU, Auburn, Virginia Tech and California.

CBSSports.com

The most recent CBS Sports projection, published Thursday, March 5, has Indiana out of the field.

The last four in are Texas A&M, Santa Clara, VCU and California and the first four out are Auburn, New Mexico, Seton Hall and Indiana.

Delphi Bracketology

Delphi’s most recent update, published on Sunday, March 1, has the Hoosiers out of the field.

The last four in are Texas A&M, TCU, VCU and New Mexico and the first four out are San Diego State, California, Virginia Tech and Auburn.

1-3-1 Sports

A long-time fixture in the Bracket Matrix with strong results, we’re including 1-3-1 Sports in all of our remaining updates.

Their latest projection, published on Wednesday, March 4, has the Hoosiers out of the field.

The last four in are SMU, Santa Clara, VCU and New Mexico and the first four teams out are Indiana, California, Auburn and Virginia Tech.

On3.com

The latest On3.com projection, written by James Fletcher on Thursday, March 5, has the Hoosiers among the last four in.

The last four in are Santa Clara, SMU, Indiana and Auburn and the first four teams out are Cincinnati, New Mexico, VCU and San Diego State.

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