Bracketology watch: IU basketball is currently out of NCAA tournament after four game losing streak

Photos from IU basketball’s 77-64 loss to Michigan State at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall.

With Selection Sunday 11 days away, we’ll periodically examine where IU basketball stands in bracketology projections. The full 2026 NCAA tournament field will be revealed on Sunday, March 15, 2026.

Indiana basketball is 17-12 overall and 8-10 in the Big Ten with two regular-season games remaining.

Here’s a look at current bracketology projections and where the Hoosiers stand, along with their current resume:

Quad 1: 2-11
Quad 2: 2-1
Quad 3: 6-0
Quad 4: 7-0

KPI: 66 (down three spots from last update)
Strength of Record: 48 (down one spot from last update)
WAB (Wins Above Bubble): 51 (down two spots from last update)
BPI: 37 (down one spot from last update)
KenPom: 43 (unchanged from last update)
NET ranking: 40 (down one spot from last update)
Bart Torvik: 35 (down four spots from last update)

Here are IU’s two remaining regular-season games with KenPom win probabilities as of Wednesday morning for each game:

Wednesday, March 4 vs. Minnesota: 71 percent chance of an IU win
Saturday, March 7 at Ohio State: 32 percent chance of an IU win

The most recent bracketology update from Andy Bottoms is available here. Andy will have an updated bracket next week.

ESPN.com, Joe Lunardi

Lunardi’s latest update came via social media late on Tuesday and he has the Hoosiers the first team out of the field.

The last four in are Santa Clara, Ohio State, New Mexico and VCU and the first four out are IU, Auburn, Virginia Tech and San Diego State.

CBSSports.com

The most recent CBS Sports projection, published Wednesday, March 4, has Indiana out of the field.

The last four in are TCU, Santa Clara, New Mexico and VCU and the first four out are California, Auburn, Seton Hall and USC.

Delphi Bracketology

Delphi’s most recent update, published on Sunday, March 1, has the Hoosiers out of the field.

The last four in are Texas A&M, TCU, VCU and New Mexico and the first four out are San Diego State, California, Virginia Tech and Auburn.

1-3-1 Sports

A long-time fixture in the Bracket Matrix with strong results, we’re including 1-3-1 Sports in all of our remaining updates.

Their latest projection, published on Wednesday, March 4, has the Hoosiers out of the field.

The last four in are Santa Clara, Ohio State, New Mexico and VCU and the first four teams out are Indiana, California, Auburn and Virginia Tech.

On3.com

The latest On3.com projection, written by James Fletcher on Sunday, March 1, has the Hoosiers among the last four in.

The last four in are Ohio State, Indiana, Auburn andNew Mexico and the first four teams out are TCU, VCU, SDSU and Cincinnati.

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