Football

Updated ESPN FPI game-by-game predictions for IU football after bye week

Alex Bozich
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Photos from IU football's 23-16 overtime win against Minnesota at Memorial Stadium.
J. Scott Photography

IU football is 8-1 and will host USC on Saturday after the bye week.

The Hoosiers have wins against North Texas, Howard, Western Kentucky, Northwestern, Rutgers, Nebraska, Michigan and Minnesota and a loss to Ohio State, which came in Week 7 at Memorial Stadium.

Saturday’s kickoff against USC is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS.

IU began the season ranked No. 6 in the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI). After a bye week in Week 9, the Hoosiers are No. 8 in the FPI.

The FPI top five: Notre Dame, Georgia, Alabama, Miami (FL) and Ohio State.

Here are updated FPI projections for IU’s three remaining games:

Week 11 – USC (November 14)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 78.2%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 77.3%
Percentage change since last update: Decreased from 86.7% to 78.2% (-8.5%)

Week 12 – at Washington (November 21)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 79.4%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 76.2%
Percentage change since last update: Decreased from 87.5% to 79.4% (-8.1%)

Week 13 – Purdue (November 28)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 93.8%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 96.1%
Percentage change since last update: Decreased from 95.0% to 93.8% (-1.2%)

The ESPN FPI projection remains the same as it was in the preseason: IU is projected to finish 11-1.