Football

Updated ESPN FPI game-by-game predictions for IU football with six games remaining

Alex Bozich
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Photos from IU football vs. Northwestern on September 25, 2026 at Memorial Stadium.
J. Scott Photography

IU football is 6-0 after beating North Texas 52-16, Howard 55-0, Western Kentucky 38-0, Northwestern 29-23, Rutgers 47-15 and Nebraska 20-17.

The Hoosiers return home this weekend to face Ohio State at 12 p.m. ET on FOX on Saturday.

IU began the season ranked No. 6 in the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI). After their Week 6 win at Nebraska, the Hoosiers are No. 7 in the FPI.

The FPI top six: Notre Dame, Georgia, Ohio State, Miami (FL), Alabama and Texas.

Here are updated FPI projections for IU’s six remaining games:

Week 7 – Ohio State (October 17)

Prediction: IU loss
IU’s percentage chance to win: 47.8%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 39.2%
Percentage change since last week: Increased from 45.9% to 47.8% (+1.9%)

Week 8 – at Michigan (October 24)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 82.6%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 65.5%
Percentage change since last week: Decreased from 83.0 to 82.6% (-0.4%)

Week 9 – Minnesota (October 31)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 96.8%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 95.6%
Percentage change since last week: Increased from 95.6% to 96.8% (+1.2%)

Week 11 – USC (November 14)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 86.0%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 77.3%
Percentage change since last week: Decreased from 86.6% to 86.0% (-0.6%)

Week 12 – at Washington (November 21)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 90.4%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 76.2%
Percentage change since last week: Increased from 88.7% to 90.4% (+1.7%)

Week 13 – Purdue (November 28)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 95.2%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 96.1%
Percentage change since last week: Decreased from 96.9% to 95.2% (-1.7%)

The ESPN FPI projection remains the same as it was in the preseason. IU is projected to finish 11-1 with a loss to Ohio State at Memorial Stadium.