Football

A look at Week 6 SP+ projections for Big Ten football

Alex Bozich
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Charlie Becker against Western Kentucky.
J. Scott Photography

The 2026 Big Ten football schedule continues this weekend with a compelling seven-game conference slate and one non-conference contest.

Last weekend, Ohio State won 31-14 at Iowa, Minnesota beat Michigan 20-14 and USC beat Washington 25-21 in the second full week of conference play.

Three Big Ten teams are on a bye this week – Michigan, Rutgers and Wisconsin. Northwestern has a non-conference game in Evanston.

Here’s a look at SP+ projections for Week 6 games featuring Big Ten programs:

(All final score projections are rounded.)

Iowa at Washington (Friday, 9 p.m. ET, FOX or FS1)

Projected score: Washington 24, Iowa 22
Projected margin: Washington by 2.1
Win probability: 55 percent

Indiana at Nebraska (Saturday, 12 p.m. ET, FOX)

Projected score: Indiana 31, Nebraska 24
Projected margin: Indiana by 7.7
Win probability: 69 percent

Ball State at Northwestern (Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET, BTN)

Projected score: Northwestern 45, Ball State 8
Projected margin: Northwestern by 37.5
Win probability: 99 percent

UCLA at Oregon (Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS)

Projected score: Oregon 34, UCLA 24
Projected margin: Oregon by 10
Win probability: 73 percent

Illinois at Michigan State (Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, FS1)

Projected score: Illinois 30, Michigan State 24
Projected margin: Illinois by 5.8
Win probability: 64 percent

Maryland at Ohio State (Saturday, 4:15 p.m. ET, BTN)

Projected score: Ohio State 42, Maryland 12
Projected margin: Ohio State by 30.5
Win probability: 97 percent

USC at Penn State (Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC)

Projected score: Pick ’em
Projected margin: USC by 0.6
Win probability: 52 percent (USC)

Minnesota at Purdue (Saturday, 8 p.m. ET, BTN)

Projected score: Minnesota 30, Purdue 24
Projected margin: Minnesota by 6.6
Win probability: 66 percent