The 2026 Big Ten football schedule continues this weekend with eight conference games.
Last weekend, conference play was highlighted by Iowa’s thrilling 20-19 win at Michigan, Oregon’s 41-27 win at USC and Wisconsin’s fourth-quarter rally to beat Penn State on the road, 24-20.
Two Big Ten teams are on a bye this week – UCLA and Oregon. The Bruins and Ducks will meet in Week 6 at Autzen Stadium.
Here’s a look at SP+ projections for Week 5 games featuring Big Ten programs:
(All final score projections are rounded.)
Penn State at Northwestern (Friday, 8 p.m. ET, FOX)
Projected score: Penn State 28, Northwestern 21
Projected margin: Penn State by 7.1
Win probability: 67 percent
Michigan at Minnesota (Saturday, 12 p.m. ET, FOX)
Projected score: Michigan 26, Minnesota 20
Projected margin: Michigan by 5.3
Win probability: 63 percent
Michigan State at Wisconsin (Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET, BTN)
Projected score: Wisconsin 28, Michigan State 19
Projected margin: Wisconsin by 9.1
Win probability: 72 percent
Ohio State at Iowa (Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS)
Projected score: Ohio State 30, Iowa 19
Projected margin: Ohio State by 11.5
Win probability: 76 percent
Maryland at Nebraska (Saturday, 4 p.m. ET, FS1)
Projected score: Nebraska 34, Maryland 19
Projected margin: Nebraska by 15.6
Win probability: 84 percent
Purdue at Illinois (Saturday, 4:15 p.m. ET, BTN)
Projected score: Illinois 40, Purdue 22
Projected margin: Illinois by 17.5
Win probability: 86 percent
Washington at USC (Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC)
Projected score: USC 32, Washington 24
Projected margin: USC by 8.2
Win probability: 70 percent
Indiana at Rutgers (Saturday, 8 p.m. ET, BTN)
Projected score: Indiana 42, Rutgers 16
Projected margin: Indiana by 26
Win probability: 95 percent
