Tourney Watch: An early look at Indiana’s resume

  • 01/24/2017 9:28 am in

After finishing last season as Big Ten regular season champions, Indiana entered the 2016-2017 campaign with major expectations. But the Hoosiers have battled injuries and several close losses along the way. Despite those setbacks, Indiana has now won three in a row and is above .500 in conference play for the first time this season.

This year’s debut of “Tourney Watch,” which will be a weekly feature up until Selection Sunday on March 12, takes a look at IU’s current nitty gritty profile, bracket projections and more.


At 14-6, Indiana’s record is solid, but the Hoosiers have a tough Big Ten schedule the rest of the way. Indiana still has six games remaining against the RPI top 50 and ten games remaining against the RPI top 100.

Nitty Gritty Profile

· Record: 14-6 (4-3 Big Ten)
· RPI: 73
· SOS: 63 (via CBS)
· Home Record: 12-2
· Away Record: 1-2
· Neutral Court Record: 1-2
· vs. RPI Top 50: 4-4 (via ESPN)
· vs. RPI Top 51-100: 1-1 (via ESPN)

Current Projections

· ESPN Bracketology (Joe Lunardi): 7 seed in Midwest Region vs. Seton Hall in Salt Lake City (updated Jan. 23)
· CBS Sports (Jerry Palm): 8 seed in West Region vs. Marquette in Salt Lake City (updated Jan. 23)
· Assembly Call (Andy Bottoms): 7 seed in East Region vs. Marquette in Orlando (updated Jan. 24)
· Crashing the Dance: No. 34 overall seed
· Bracket Matrix: Top No. 8 seed

The consensus right now is that Indiana would be in the field if it were selected today. The model on Crashing the Dance currently has the Hoosiers with the seventh best profile among Big Ten teams behind Wisconsin, Maryland, Purdue, Minnesota, Northwestern and Michigan State.

Final record projections projects the Hoosiers to finish 20-11 overall and 10-8 in the conference. has the three most likely final regular season records for IU as: 20-11 (25.5%), 21-10 (22.2%) and 19-12 (19%).

A look at the conference as a whole

The Big Ten currently looks like a seven (or eight) bid league with Wisconsin, Maryland, Purdue, Minnesota, Northwestern, Michigan State and Indiana all in on most projections.

The three other teams from the conference on the fringe, according to Crashing the Dance, are Michigan, Illinois and Nebraska.

As the season moves along, we’ll dig more into each team’s projections, but Bracket Matrix (updated Jan. 23) currently has Wisconsin as a No. 5 seed, Maryland and Purdue as No. 6 seeds, Minnesota and Northwestern as No. 7 seeds and Michigan State as a No. 9 seed.

2017 Tournament Sites 

· First Four: Dayton
· First, second rounds: Buffalo, Greenville, Indianapolis, Milwaukee, Orlando, Salt Lake City, Sacramento, Tulsa
· Regional: Kansas City, Memphis, New York, San Jose
· Final Four: Phoenix

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