Indiana ranked No. 13 in initial ratings

  • 10/25/2015 7:05 pm in

The new ratings are out for the 2015-2016 season and the stats guru is joining many of the preseason prognostications that have the Hoosiers in the top 15.

IU will begin the season at No. 13 in Pomeroy’s rating, the second highest ranking of any Big Ten team behind Wisconsin at No. 9.

The rest of the Big Ten is ranked as follows: Michigan (17), Michigan State (18), Purdue (22), Maryland (24), Iowa (36), Ohio State (42), Northwestern (51), Illinois (61), Minnesota (66), Penn State (119), Nebraska (137) and Rutgers (223).

The Hoosiers sit at No. 2 nationally in offensive efficiency in the preseason, according to Pomeroy and at No. 83 in defensive efficiency. Indiana finished last season ranked 214th nationally in defensive efficiency.

Pomeroy projects IU to finish 12-6 in the Big Ten alongside Wisconsin.

The highest rated non-conference opponents on IU’s schedule according to Pomeroy’s ratings are Duke (1), Notre Dame (16) and Wake Forest (60). Potential Maui opponents in the top 50 include Kansas (4), Vanderbilt (20) and UCLA (38).

Indiana also plays three opponents ranked 300 or worse in Pomeroy’s ratings: Alcorn State (343), McNeese State (333) and Kennesaw State (336).

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  • TomJameson

    Several interesting points, but the biggest one that sticks out is the IU defensive efficiency at 83. What??

  • Rutgers…just wow.

  • straight no chaser

    Alex, the Hoosiers sit at #2, not #22, in offense. No?

  • TomJameson

    That’s right straight, just went and looked. 2 in offense and still 83 in defense. If that holds to be true, no telling what this team can do. Still though, preseason guesses just HAVE to be taken with a grain of salt. LOL

  • straight no chaser

    I know it is more complicated, but if we base our predictions on rankings alone, we are a Sweet 16 team but no better. We need to get into the top 50 in defensive to be able to realistically expect a final 8 or 4 team.

  • straight no chaser

    The explanation is probably (pun intended) embedded somewhere in the elaborate mathematical models!

  • Yeah, I had an extra two in there. Fixed.

  • straight no chaser

    Gotta respect the Warlock of Wisconsin. When I saw his team’s #9 ranking I thought to myself: surely he has one of the top-rated incoming classes in the nation. But here are the incoming player composite ratings according to 247: #94, #146, #331, #353, and NA (the Belgian recruit).

    I wish the Warlock would share some of that potion, LOL.

  • TomJameson

    Although I almost never ‘say’ anything, I am very picky in grammar and spelling.

    That said Alex, you are amazing in that you seldom make a mistake like that. You must actually pay attention to what you do instead of relying solely on spell check. 🙂

    Just one more check-off on that list of excellence. LOL

  • Jim

    this guys model ignores (literally) transfers. Maryland has two upperclassmen transfers starting , sulaimon and carter

  • calbert40

    I don’t know if I am buying all of the “Maryland is #1 in the nation” hype, but I seriously doubt there are 23 better teams in the country either. I’m a fan of KenPom, but some of these rankings are curious. I think IU is pegged about right, but there is no chance UW is the best team in the B1G this year. No way.

  • Hoosier Hall

    KenPom uses something called the “Luck factor” in his formula. Maryland was the highest or at least one of the highest in that category last season based on all of their narrow wins. That could be what is projecting them so low in his rankings.


    Yep ! As we seen last season offense can only cover up so much bad team defense, especially towards the end of the season when wins and losses mean so much more.


    Well one of the main, and maybe biggest, ingredients is really good team defense……I know, I know people, broken record.

  • millzy32

    It’s not the number 331 guy from this year that will make a difference it’s the number 331 guy from a couple years ago that is finally embracing the system and gets it now that will make the difference. Kaminsky sucked for a couple years and then he got it and he dominated.

  • millzy32

    To be honest luck plays so much of a factor that we could be in the mix no matter what. If we hit our shots at the right time we’ll be hard to beat. The 2002 team made it to the final game on amazing and hard to repeat performances from behind the arc. They had no business making it to the championship game. But they did and that’s all that matters.

  • millzy32

    I think Ken Pom wrote this after a trip to Colorado to get his special “tobacco”. This would be a good one to save for the end of the season to see how wrong or right he becomes.

  • millzy32

    No worries. Again it was a slip of the 2. He meant 283 🙂

  • IU Hoosiers # 34, 1979-83

    That is a good one! I had a rough day due to trade errors, but your comment Millzy32 made me laugh. Thanks!

  • straight no chaser

    I agree, but I’m just saying that with our current ranking we should not be shocked if we reach the Sweet Sixteen but not the Elite Eight, yet again.

  • straight no chaser

    LOL, that’s more like it. Phew!

  • PBzeer

    While unlikely, the possibility exists that we come back from Maui unranked. And it’s not an unusual scenario for preseason tournaments for ranked teams to do poorly. So while I’m optimistic about the coming season, my expectations remain tempered by last season’s horrendous defense, particularly our perimeter defense which will still have the same players. .