Football

Updated ESPN FPI game-by-game predictions for IU football after Ohio State loss

Alex Bozich
0
Photos from IU football's 19-15 loss to Ohio State at Memorial Stadium.

IU football is 6-1 after its narrow 19-15 loss to Ohio State at Memorial Stadium in Week 7.

The Hoosiers own wins against North Texas 52-16, Howard 55-0, Western Kentucky 38-0, Northwestern 29-23, Rutgers 47-15 and Nebraska 20-17.

IU is back on the road to face Michigan at 12 p.m. ET on FOX on Saturday. It’s the fourth Big Noon Kickoff appearance this season for the program.

The Hoosiers began the season ranked No. 6 in the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI). After their close Week 7 loss to Ohio State, IU moved up two spots to No. 5 in the FPI.

The FPI top four: Ohio State, Notre Dame, Georgia and Miami (FL).

Here are updated FPI projections for IU’s five remaining games:

Week 8 – at Michigan (October 24)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 82.2%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 65.5%
Percentage change since last week: Decreased from 82.6 to 82.2% (-0.4%)

Week 9 – Minnesota (October 31)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 97.0%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 95.6%
Percentage change since last week: Increased from 96.8% to 97.0% (+0.2%)

Week 11 – USC (November 14)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 85.2%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 77.3%
Percentage change since last week: Decreased from 86.0% to 85.2% (-0.8%)

Week 12 – at Washington (November 21)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 88.9%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 76.2%
Percentage change since last week: Decreased from 90.4% to 88.9% (-1.5%)

Week 13 – Purdue (November 28)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 95.9%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 96.1%
Percentage change since last week: Increased from 95.2% to 95.9% (+0.7%)

The ESPN FPI projection remains the same as it was in the preseason: IU is projected to finish 11-1.