The latest ESPN FPI game-by-game predictions for IU football’s 2025 season

Photos of IU football vs. UCLA football at Memorial Stadium on October 25, 2025.

Another week, another blowout win for IU football.

The Hoosiers dismantled UCLA 56-6 on Saturday at Memorial Stadium and moved from No. 4 in the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) to No. 2.

Curt Cignetti’s Hoosiers started the season at No. 26 in the FPI. Ohio State is No. 1 in the FPI, followed by IU, Oregon, Alabama and Notre Dame.

The current FPI rankings for IU’s remaining opponents: Maryland (No. 55), Penn State (No. 21), Wisconsin (No. 63) and Purdue (No. 81).

In the preseason, the FPI projected the Hoosiers to finish 9-3 with losses to Iowa, Oregon and Penn State. IU beat Iowa and Oregon in its first two road games. The Hoosiers travel to Penn State on Saturday, November 8.

Here are updated FPI game-by-game projections for IU’s four remaining games:

Week 10 – Maryland (November 1)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 90.4%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 21: 87.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 14: 86.2%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 82.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 65.4%

Week 11 – at Penn State (November 8)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 77.1%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 21: 70.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 14: 71.3%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 51.6%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 17.3%

Week 12 – Wisconsin (November 15)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 96.4%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 21: 96%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 14: 95.5%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 92.1%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 66.1%

Week 14 – at Purdue (November 28)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 96.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 21: 95.2%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 14: 94.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 93.3%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 86.4%

The FPI projection for IU remains 12-0.

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