Updated ESPN FPI game-by-game predictions for IU football’s 2025 season
- Alex Bozich
- 2h ago
After Saturday’s 38-13 win against Michigan State, IU football is 7-0 and is ranked No. 2 in the latest Associated Press top 25 poll.
The Hoosiers host UCLA this weekend at Memorial Stadium at 12 p.m. ET on FOX.
IU began the season ranked No. 26 in the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI), but has climbed to No. 4 nationally after eight weeks of the regular season.
Ohio State is No. 1 in the FPI, followed by Oregon and Alabama.
The FPI projected the Hoosiers to finish 9-3 with losses to Iowa, Oregon and Penn State in the preseason. IU beat Iowa and Oregon in a pair of road games and plays at Penn State on November 8.
Here are updated FPI game-by-game projections for IU’s five remaining games:
Week 9 – UCLA (October 25)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 96.2%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 14: 96.4%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 98.1%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 77.3%
Week 10 – Maryland (November 1)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 87.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 14: 86.2%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 82.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 65.4%
Week 11 – at Penn State (November 8)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 70.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 14: 71.3%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 51.6%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 17.3%
Week 12 – Wisconsin (November 15)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 96%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 14: 95.5%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 92.1%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 66.1%
Week 14 – at Purdue (November 28)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 95.2%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 14: 94.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 93.3%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 86.4%
The current ESPN FPI projection is a 12-0 record for the Hoosiers.
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