Updated ESPN FPI game-by-game predictions for IU football’s 2025 season
- Alex Bozich
- 3h ago
IU football is 6-0 with wins against Illinois, Iowa and Oregon and is ranked No. 3 in the latest Associated Press top 25 poll.
The Hoosiers host Michigan State this weekend at Memorial Stadium at 3:30 p.m. ET on homecoming weekend. The game will be broadcast exclusively on Peacock.
IU began the season ranked No. 26 in the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI), but has since risen to No. 2 nationally after seven weeks of the regular season. Ohio State is No. 1 in the FPI.
In the preseason, the FPI projected the Hoosiers to finish 9-3 with losses to Iowa, Oregon and Penn State.
Here are updated FPI game-by-game projections for IU’s six remaining games:
Week 8 – Michigan State (October 18)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 96.4%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 93.3%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 78.9%
Week 9 – UCLA (October 25)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 96.4%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 98.1%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 77.3%
Week 10 – Maryland (November 1)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 86.2%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 82.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 65.4%
Week 11 – at Penn State (November 8)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 71.3%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 51.6%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 17.3%
Week 12 – Wisconsin (November 15)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 95.5%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 92.1%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 66.1%
Week 14 – at Purdue (November 28)
Prediction: IU win
IU’s current percentage chance to win: 94.7%
IU’s percentage chance to win on October 2: 93.3%
IU’s percentage chance to win in the preseason: 86.4%
The updated ESPN FPI projection is a 12-0 record for the Hoosiers.
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