ESPN FPI’s game-by-game predictions for IU’s 2025 football season

• Alex Bozich

• 1h ago

 

IU football kicks off the 2025 season on Saturday afternoon against Old Dominion at Memorial Stadium.

Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET on FS1.

The ESPN FPI (Football Power Index) is live for the 2025 season with matchup predictions for all 12 games on the schedule. IU is ranked No. 26 in the FPI.

Here’s a game-by-game look at the projections for the Hoosiers:

Week 1 – Old Dominion (August 30)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 88.5%

Week 2 – Kennesaw State (September 6)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 96.4%

Week 3 – Indiana State (September 12)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 99%

Week 4 – Illinois (September 20)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 65.4%

Week 5 – at Iowa (September 27)

Prediction: IU loss
IU’s percentage chance to win: 47.1%

Week 7 – at Oregon (October 11)

Prediction: IU loss
IU’s percentage chance to win: 19%

Week 8 – Michigan State (October 18)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 78.9%

Week 9 – UCLA (October 25)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 77.3%

Week 10 – Maryland (November 1)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 65.4%

Week 11 – at Penn State (November 8)

Prediction: IU loss
IU’s percentage chance to win: 17.3%

Week 12 – Wisconsin (November 15)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 66.1%

Week 14 – at Purdue (November 28)

Prediction: IU win
IU’s percentage chance to win: 86.4%

The ESPN FPI projection is a 9-3 record for the Hoosiers with wins against Old Dominion, Kennesaw State, Indiana State, Illinois, Michigan State, UCLA, Maryland, Wisconsin and Purdue.

The FPI projects losses at Iowa, at Oregon and at Penn State.

(Photo credit: IU Athletics)

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