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2011-12 ITH Season Preview: Ohio State Buckeyes

by in Commentary | October 11th, 2011

With the college basketball season inching closer, we’ll be taking a long look at the conference at large as well as Indiana’s roster over the next few weeks. Today, we wrap up our Big Ten team previews with a look at the Ohio State Buckeyes.

In four of Thad Matta’s seven seasons in Columbus, Ohio, his Buckeyes have claimed a Big Ten championship. And as the 2011-12 campaign approaches, a fifth is well within sight.

It all starts with Jared Sullinger. The sophomore big man opted to forego the NBA draft in June — one in which he was a surefire Top 5 pick — in order to remain a Buckeye for another season. Some viewed this as the wrong move. You take the money when you can. But with the lockout still looming over the NBA and Sullinger reportedly working his game and body to be more ready to take on the 4-spot in the pros, maybe he got it right.

The Columbus native was a force in the paint last season in a number of ways. He scored (17.1 points per game), got to the line (65.1 percent free-throw rate) and rebounded (both his offensive and defensive rebounding percentages ranked second in the conference). And his 2010-11 comaparables via Ken Pomeroy are impressive: Kevin Love (’08), Tyler Hansbrough (’06), Blake Griffin (’08) and Greg Oden (’07).

But like many Matta teams, Sullinger isn’t the only talent. We previously profiled sophomore Deshaun Thomas as a potential breakout candidate. With David Lighty and John Diebler gone, Thomas figures to take on a larger role for the Buckeyes. Senior William Buford, who started 34 games in 2010-11 and was the team’s second-leading scorer (14.4 points per game) behind Sullinger, will provide experience and yet another strong option for the Buckeyes’ offense.

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2011-12 ITH Season Preview: Wisconsin Badgers

by in Commentary | October 11th, 2011

With the college basketball season inching closer, we’ll be taking a long look at the conference at large as well as Indiana’s roster over the next few weeks. Today, we continue our team previews with a look at the Wisconsin Badgers.

The style of play might not be sexy, but under the tutelage of Bo Ryan, the Wisconsin Badgers have become one of the top programs in the Big Ten. Over the past five seasons, Wisconsin is 65-23 in conference play. That impressive mark trails only one team — Ohio State.

Wisconsin finished the 2010-11 season with a 25-9 record and advanced to the Sweet 16 before falling to eventual runner-up Butler. Statistically, the Badgers had the league’s most efficient offense, the lowest turnover percentage (11.1) and were also the Big Ten’s best defensive rebounding team.

The combination of Jon Leuer, a second round NBA Draft pick of the San Antonio Spurs, and Jordan Taylor, who returns to Madison this year for his senior season, was as good as any in the league. One of Leuer’s 2011 KenPom comparables was JaJuan Johnson, the Big Ten Player of the Year. Taylor, meanwhile, turned in the second lowest turnover percentage in the country (8.5), shot close to 43 percent from behind the 3-point line and ranked in the top 25 nationally in offensive rating.

Despite losing Leuer, who averaged 18.3 ppg, and two other starters — Keaton Nankivil and Tim Jarmusz — Wisconsin is expected to once again contend for a conference title. Josh Gasser, who started 30 games and recorded the school’s first triple-double as a freshman, will join Taylor, a consensus All-American pick, in anchoring the backcourt.

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2011-12 ITH Season Preview: Michigan Wolverines

by in Commentary | October 7th, 2011

With the college basketball season inching closer, we’ll be taking a long look at the conference at large as well as Indiana’s roster over the next few weeks. Today, we continue our team previews with a look at the Michigan Wolverines.

As noted yesterday, the Michigan State Spartans failed to live up to expectations in 2010-11. But their in-state rivals — the Michigan Wolverines? John Beilein’s boys smashed through theirs.

Without much of a veteran presence on the squad and expected to finish near the bottom of the league, Michigan surprised last season by not only making it to the NCAA Tournament, but by nearly advancing to the Sweet Sixteen. As a No. 8 seed,  the Wolverines destroyed Tennessee in the first round of the tournament (75-45) before narrowly losing to top-seeded Duke (73-71), as a Darius Morris shot to tie the game in the closing seconds missed.

The sophomore point guard was a big part of Michigan’s unexpected charge. Morris was as skilled a dime-dropper as almost anyone in the nation last season with an assist rate of 44.2 percent (third-best in the country). But based on his breakout season, Morris entered the NBA draft and was selected by Los Angeles Lakers with the No. 41 pick in the second round.

Even with Morris’ departure, Michigan still boasts a strong cast of characters, ones that figure to establish themselves among the upper echelon of the conference. And if things fall into place, the team could challenge Ohio State and Wisconsin for a Big Ten championship this season.

Sophomore guard Tim Hardaway Jr. — who we previously profiled as a member of our preseason All-Big Ten team — is a nice fallback option for the departed Morris and should emerge as the team’s leading scorer. Seniors Stu Douglass and Zack Novak will provide experience so often needed during the Big Ten slate and were among the better 3-point shooters on the team last season. Three sophomores — forwards Jordan Morgan, Evan Smotrycz and Jon Horford — will anchor the team’s frontline. As a freshman, Morgan was the team’s top offensive rebounder (10.7 offensive rebounding percentage) and was second to Novak (17.4) in defensive rebounding percentage (16.8).

Junior guard Matt Vogrich (14 minutes a game last season) will provide depth.

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2011-12 ITH Season Preview: Michigan State Spartans

by in Commentary | October 6th, 2011

With the college basketball season inching closer, we’ll be taking a long look at the conference at large as well as Indiana’s roster over the next few weeks. Today, we continue our team previews with a look at the Michigan State Spartans.

Michigan State tipped off the 2010-2011 season as one of the teams expected to contend for a national championship.

When the dust settled, the Spartans were 19-15 following a 78-76 loss to UCLA on the first Thursday of the NCAA Tournament. It was a fitting end to a tumultuous season in East Lansing. After trailing by as many as 23 points in the second half to the Bruins, Tom Izzo’s club battled back, but ultimately fell just short in the end.

Michigan State was once again of the Big Ten’s best rebounding teams as they finished second in both offensive and defensive rebounding percentage. Other than that, it was a marginal year statistically. The Spartans were last in the conference in effective field goal percentage (47.3) and tenth in adjusted offensive efficiency. They also failed to take care of the ball as their turnover percent (18.4) ranked eighth in the league.

Kalin Lucas never returned to the form he displayed as a sophomore or junior following a ruptured achilles tendon during the 2010 NCAA Tournament. Durrell Summers, who looked to be on the verge of finally breaking out, was wildly inconsistent. All in all, it was a season that Michigan State fans would love to forget.

This year’s version of the Spartans should be headed for the upper half of the Big Ten, but plenty of questions remain.

In the front court, Izzo recently lost his best defensive big man, Delvon Roe, who opted to retire due to chronic knee problems. Draymond Green looks like one of the best players in the conference, but junior Derrick Nix and sophomore Adrien Payne will need to saddle larger roles. Freshman Branden Dawson, a native of Gary, arrives with McDonald’s All-American accolades and an appetite for rebounds (18.6 as a high school senior).

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2011-12 ITH Season Preview: Purdue Boilermakers

by in Commentary | October 5th, 2011

With the college basketball season inching closer, we’ll be taking a long look at the conference at large as well as Indiana’s roster over the next few weeks. Today, we continue our team previews with a look at the Purdue Boilermakers.

Goodbye, JuJuan Johnson.

Farewell, E’Twuan Moore.

The departed seniors — who both landed with the Boston Celtics in June’s NBA draft — were a big part of Matt Painter’s Boilermakers last season. Consider this: The two combined to use 54.3 percent of the team’s possessions and took 60 percent of its shots. This all from the nation’s 19th best offense based on adjusted efficiency.

But Moore and Johnson were also instrumental on the other side of the ball, where the Boilermakers fared even better — posting the 12th best mark in adjusted defensive efficiency.

While Purdue might not be destined to fall to the bottom half of the Big Ten in 2011-12, expecting the team to finish among the conference’s top two spots — which it’s done in each of the past four seasons — is likely a stretch at this juncture.

Just how Robbie Hummel will return from consecutive ACL injuries remains to be seen. But the senior — who has one year of eligibility left due to his second injury costing him the entire 2010-11 season — has played strong defense his entire career. So even if his offensive game takes a step back, he may be able to help bolster the loss of Johnson and Moore on defense. (We recently listed Hummel on our preseason All-Big Ten Team.)

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2011-12 ITH Season Preview: Illinois Fighting Illini

by in Commentary | October 4th, 2011

With the college basketball season inching closer, we’ll be taking a long look at the conference at large as well as Indiana’s roster over the next few weeks. Today, we continue our team previews with a look at the Illinois Fighting Illini.

Underwhelming. That one word best describes Illinois’ 2010-2011 season.

Despite returning four seniors and adding a McDonald’s All-American in Jereme Richmond, Illinois finished just 20-14 and failed to win consecutive games after January 6. And although Bruce Weber’s group did manage an appearance (and a win) in the NCAA Tournament, the talent on last year’s roster was certainly capable of much more.

So what went wrong? Illinois failed to rebound and take care of the ball in Big Ten play. Even with senior Demetri McCamey manning the point, the Fighting Illini posted a turnover rate of 20.1 percent — third worst in the conference. On the glass, their offensive rebounding percentage of 30.2 was eighth in the league despite having tremendous frontcourt size.

Defensively, Illinois led the Big Ten in effective field goal percentage, 3-point percentage and 2-point percentage, but finished last in creating turnovers. Chemistry issues likely contributed to the overall turbulence as well.

With the aforementioned senior class and Richmond all departed, junior guards Brandon Paul (9.0 ppg) and D.J. Richardson (8.4 ppg) are the two most experienced players returning to Champaign. They’ll be joined in the backcourt by Sam Maniscalco, a Bradley transfer with immediate eligibility. He’s expected to take over the point guard duties from McCamey provided his surgically repaired ankles hold up. Tracy Abrams, a top 75 guard, will also see time at the point. Myke Henry, a 6-foot-6 wing, should provide a boost of athleticism.

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