What to Expect: Iowa

  • 03/08/2017 4:43 pm in

Just 16 days removed from their lone meeting of the regular season in Iowa City, Indiana and Iowa will square off in the Big Ten tournament at the Verizon Center in Washington, D.C. The Hawkeyes are 18-13 overall and finished with a 10-8 record in Big Ten play.

The game will be broadcast at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2 with Dave Flemming, Dan Dakich and Molly McGrath on the call:

WASHINGTON – The Big Ten tournament hasn’t been kind to Indiana.

The Hoosiers are just 11-19 all-time in the event and 3-8 under Tom Crean. None of the three wins have come against a higher seeded team. If Indiana is going to make a run this postseason, that will have to change.

The tenth seeded Hoosiers will play Iowa, arguably the league’s hottest team, on Thursday. The Hawkeyes have won four in a row and the streak includes a 96-90 overtime win over Indiana in Iowa City on Feb. 21. Peter Jok, Iowa’s first team All-Big Ten selection, scored 35 in that victory, including a 22-of-23 performance from the foul line.

What’s on the line for both teams?

A win for Iowa will put the Hawkeyes in position to solidify NCAA tournament hopes in a Friday matchup against Wisconsin. Win that and Iowa is probably in the tournament for the fourth straight season. Indiana, meanwhile, is probably destined for the NIT unless it can make a run to the title on Sunday.

MEET THE HAWKEYES

It’s been a rebuilding season for the Hawkeyes, but Fran McCaffery has his young team peaking at the right time. The primary holdover from last season’s NCAA tournament team is senior guard Peter Jok, who averages a team-high 20.2 points.

Jok used 28.6 percent of Iowa’s possessions in Big Ten play and shot 45.2 percent on 2s and 33.3 percent on 3s. He was also the best free throw shooter in the conference in league play at 91.7 percent.

Point guard Jordan Bohannon, an All-Big Ten freshman team selection, owns the seventh best assist rate in the league. Bohannon is third on the team in scoring at 9.8 points per game and hit 39.8 percent of his 3s in conference play.

Redshirt sophomore guard Brady Ellingson is a 3-point specialist who is hitting 50 percent from distance on the season. Freshman guard Isaiah Moss, a Chicago native, is sixth on the team in scoring at 6.2 points per game.

Sophomore Christian Williams logs the majority of his minutes as the backup point guard. Williams made just 38.3 percent of his 2s and didn’t make a 3-pointer in conference play. He also had a turnover rate of 22.4 percent.

Forward Tyler Cook joined Bohannon on the All-Freshman team. His 12 points per game are second on the team. The 6-foot-9 St. Louis native is excellent at drawing fouls and posted a free throw rate (FTA/FGA) of 51.6 percent in league games.

Another freshman, Cordell Pemsl, is 6-foot-8 and 250 pounds and has been productive off the bench. He finished conference play as the Big Ten’s 10th best offensive rebounder. Sophomore Ahmad Wagner starts at the four. Wagner made just over 49 percent of his 2s in Big Ten play, but is a poor free throw shooter (45.2 percent).

Sophomore Nicolas Baer, a former walk-on, is a solid defensive player who earned the Big Ten’s sixth man of the year award. The 6-foot-7 Baer finished conference play tenth in block percentage and fourth in steal percentage. Baer is fifth on the team in scoring at 7.6 points per game.

Junior Dom Uhl was expected to take on a much larger role this season, but has been a fringe rotation guy in many games. He’s averaging just 3.8 points and 3.4 rebounds per game.

TEMPO-FREE PREVIEW

Free throws were the story of the first matchup in Iowa City. Iowa took 47. Indiana took 19. The Hawkeyes outscored Indiana by 23 points at the free throw line. Opponent free throw differential has been a problem all season for Indiana and a strength for the Hawkeyes. The numbers should be much closer on Thursday, but the overall body of work suggests Iowa could still hold a decided advantage at the line.

Where Indiana can – and must – take advantage against Iowa is on the boards. Indiana had 16 offensive rebounds in the first meeting (43.2 OR%), but just 14 second chance points. The Hawkeyes are the worst defensive rebounding team in the Big Ten. If Indiana is able to avoid foul trouble and play its most effective guys major minutes, the Hoosiers should have a decided advantage on the glass.

WHAT IT COMES DOWN TO

Indiana is a two-point favorite, according to Ken Pomeroy’s ratings, and a four-point favorite in the Sagarin ratings. The Vegas line opened with Indiana as a one-point favorite.

It’s hard to predict which Indiana team will show up at the Verizon Center.

Will it be the Hoosier team that just went on the road and beat Ohio State with a record setting offensive performance in Value City Arena? Or will it be the group that is 2-8 in true road games and 3-10 overall away from Assembly Hall? Ready or not, tournament basketball is here. Is Indiana ready for the challenge?

(Photo credit: Elsa/Getty Images North America)

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  • vicbert caladipo

    Dan Marino, Larry Bird, Tim Duncan, Calbert Cheaney, Victor Oladipo, and Barry Larkin……my all time favorites of the 3 major sports.

  • vicbert caladipo

    Maybe they can get Self back so we can beat him up some more ; )

  • Bankshot

    You got me! not that familiar with WWE
    ENJOY THE GAMES THIS WEEKEND

  • pcantidote

    I would really enjoy seeing them get a taste of what we got last year from Michigan….and then get a draw with UK and UNC in the first 3 rounds.

  • pcantidote

    I conspiratorily believe that even if NW didn’t deserve it the NCAA would put them in because it wants the story.

  • N71

    I made a note to myself to revisit your post due to the “85% he is gone” waiting for substantiating evidence from Bankshot and he lets me down with, “Crean will be back next year”. NOOOOO! I can’t imagine him coming back again next year just to go through the same BS where we don’t play defense, turn the ball over, and settle for making the tournament and listen to praise about Kansas State or Wake Forest who beats us before we can celebrate another Sweet 16 appearance.

  • IU Hoosiers # 34, 1979-83

    Over or under 14 turnovers in tonight’s game.

  • pcantidote

    I am from Indiana and I grew up with the fans of those other schools. Right or wrong, that created the animosity. Nothing good comes out of having 3 other good programs in the state. They are competing for our recruits and prestige. We want to be an elite blue blood but we can’t even claim to be the best in our state, and in some years not even the 3rd best. That is part of our in state recruiting problem right now.

    It’s like the Purdue grads that pound their chest about their engineering school….I always counter back, give me a break, you are not even the best engineering school in Indiana.

  • IULore

    exactly 14, lol

  • IU Hoosiers # 34, 1979-83

    Yes. He is the one candidate that they are going after. Good choice also.

  • pcantidote

    Sparty is gonna role PSU. Oh yeah, it’s March.

  • calbert40 – AC000000

    I agree. I think he’d enjoy being back in the B1G too.

  • calbert40 – AC000000

    No…if Self is leaving Lawrence, he’s coming to B’Town instead of Champagne!

  • IdahoHoosier

    If you post things and multiple people don’t get your supposed meaning, then perhaps it is time to work on getting your point across more clearly. The past is in the past, but it can (and should) shape how we view the present.

  • ArghSonOfOhCrap

    Yep, I have tangled the ole man and he put the beat down on me. Actually a lot of us has taken shots from him. Lol

  • IdahoHoosier

    Some of my family graduated from Purdue engineering school so I’ll leave that one alone. But your comment about IU wanting to be elite but not being even 3rd best just supports my previous comment. If IU isn’t the best, you can choose to either 1. cheer for improvement at IU to “rise to the occasion”, or 2. cheer for the demise of those who have surpassed you. You could do both but that doesn’t seem necessary. Basketball has changed and maybe IU hasn’t kept up. Does that mean those that have improved where IU hasn’t should be hated?

  • inadvertentelbows_stillhurt

    Yea Cuonzo is the rumor around here (Chicagoland)…you think IU fans complain about recruiting Indiana, Illinois needs to get that Chicago pipeline back

  • bball at nick’s

    From here on Crean is going berzerk with his unapologetic high-octane weave … I mean offense … Does that answer your question? LOL.

  • pcantidote

    I just don’t see them at odds with each other. I am quite comfortable hating PU, ND and BU while cheering for IU, and as I mentioned, my hatred stems from my childhood and is part of my fabric rather than being some kind of hatred of their success. Moreover, I have no connection to those schools, and frankly don’t place any significance on the fact that they happen to be in Indiana too. Who cares. I feel no obligation to like them and gain nothing from their success. I can see how some are neutral or even ok with BU or ND, but I find it very odd when IU fans root for Purdue because they are in the B1G or from the same state. Spare me the tribal silliness. I hate them. Period.

  • IULore

    well that would be something. wouldn’t that be like leaving OSU to go to Michigan in football?

  • IdahoHoosier

    Label it “tribal silliness” if you like. You are entitled to your opinions and can blindly dislike things based on your upbringing… which is tribal silliness too actually, just a smaller tribe. I think it is just a different view on life. If I want to be the best at something, I don’t hope something bad befalls those ahead of me. I’d get much more satisfaction out of surpassing them by my own efforts and achievements. That is just how I view sports/games as well. “I hate them. Period.” Quite an impressive explanation you have there.

  • IULore

    It’s ok for people to root for or against whoever they want, not a big deal.

  • IU Hoosiers # 34, 1979-83

    Can you believe the Bears signed Glennon to a 45 million contract. Going backwards fast.

  • IU Hoosiers # 34, 1979-83

    CM is a wonderful and classy person. I’ve been privileged to meet him several times.

  • IdahoHoosier

    As usual, not sure what you’re talking about. I’ve never before said people are out to get you, and unclear on the meaning of “evaluate for others”. Evaluate what? For whom? My point in saying not everyone is out to get you is that you don’t need to argue with everybody, especially when you are arguing against a point no one made!

  • pcantidote

    This just in, you are not competing here, you are fan. There is nothing rational or altruistic about it. There are winners and losers, and by rooting for other in state schools you are by definition rooting for someone else (i.e. out of state schools) to lose and thus hoping something bad befalls THEM.

  • IU Hoosiers # 34, 1979-83

    He will spread bad cess all the way from here to Seattle!!!

  • IdahoHoosier

    Haha no, my opinion is there is a difference in wishing ill on those you are against, and wishing well on those you are for. Thanks for reminding me I’m just a fan, like everyone else here including you. What does that have to do with it? We are discussing fandom. Anyway, fun debate! I appreciate your insight PC.

  • ArghSonOfOhCrap

    I love St. Mary’s sure they got waxed by Gonzaga twice but I really think this team is really good and could make some noise. They start all upper classman and there PG is a leader 5.7 APG and he doesn’t mind getting physical at 3.8 rpg. They also have a very good big man kind of a post guy.

    I also love SMU they played a reasonably tough schedule and they are very good. I love Milton Shake and Semi OJ is averaging 18 ppg. There head coach was taught by LB one of the best and he is legit. There RPI is just OK but they will make a deep run. I love there head coach… may be a man crush. Lol

  • pcantidote

    Who is wishing ill here? I never said I want the Purdue plane to crash…..I just want them to lose. Someone HAS to lose, and in my book, why not Purdue? The point of highlighting that you are only a fan is because of how irrational it is to be a fan. Sports is ultimately just meaningless games, and yet we are both fanatical about IU winning. Yet somehow it seems like you think that rooting for someone to lose is heresy. To me that is just as much a part of being a sports fan. Anyway, good talk. Go Hoosiers. On that we can agree.

  • ArghSonOfOhCrap

    I can get behind rooting against Purdue and University of Kentucky but nah Butler what’s not to like. They are very good

  • pcantidote

    I responded to that already. They’ve gotten relevant enough that they are competing against us for in state recruits. Not good.

  • AndyCapp

    So you don’t know it as a FACT, since you weren’t there. And neither was your daughter, for that matter.

    That is called “hearsay”. Just like in Ferris Bueller, “My best friend’s sister’s boyfriend’s brother’s girlfriend heard from this guy who knows this kid who’s going with the girl who saw …”

    Thanks for the “education” 😉

  • INUnivHoosier2

    Just an observation, but usually when people have to rely on telling others how long they’ve been doing something to bolster their credibility on the topic, it usually indicates a lack of credibility otherwise.

    In other words, telling people that you’ve been doing it a long time indicates a lack of third-party perception that you are any good at what you’ve been doing for a long time.

  • INUnivHoosier2

    Which half?

  • I’d go for broke, DR (low post) and TB (high post), w/ JM at the 3, JB at the 2 and RJ at the point, I’d play a 1,3,1 zone and stop their drives to the basket. I’d play an 8 man rotation with my starters playing 30+/ mins, and stop the fouling. But this team hasn’t been taught these things by there coach, it’s not his style. I guess you have to go with what didn’t get you there (THE NCAA TOURNAMENT),. Just saying IMHO,

  • SeeingRed

    Truth: IU had problems a couple years ago. It’s great that they have been cleaned up and things are trending the right way. But there is not near enough distance between those problems and today for people to be waxing poetic and trashing other programs with current issues, just to find something to feel good about.

  • iubase

    Thank you. Agree entirely. Excited to watch this game live. They never lose when I am there. Yes it was in the mid 70s when I last saw them live and then again in chi town more recently but good mojo will help. Team always plays better with back to the wall. We win by 5 tonight. That beer will taste good tonight. Someone else will have to carry the torch tomorrow and the next day.

  • IU Hoosiers # 34, 1979-83

    Wow!!!!

  • IU Hoosiers # 34, 1979-83

    Deron Davis is god sent for us!!!

  • INUnivHoosier2

    A joke!!

  • Koko

    Evaluate…..telling people what they should think either overtly or covertly. In your case it is mostly covertly. And then the general statement that I argue with everybody is simply not true.

  • Koko

    Multiple makes it sound like many when in fact it is just the two of you.
    There you go again coach.

  • IdahoHoosier

    In no context does “evaluate” mean to tell others what they should think. So here you’ve presented me yet another example of you misunderstanding (accidentally or on purpose) something and arguing against what you perceive to have been said. Makes it hard to take you seriously my man. Good win yesterday for IU!

  • Koko

    Sorry my bad….I should have known you wouldn’t understand. Yes it was a good win.

  • IdahoHoosier

    Yes you should have known if you improperly use words, or use words you don’t know the meaning of, I may not understand you.

  • IdahoHoosier

    Still hung up on word meanings that you don’t understand? Multiple means 2 or more. I specifically know of 2 examples, and there could be more, so “multiple” fits.