Tourney Watch: Iowa, Maryland wins help IU move up

  • 03/08/2016 11:00 am in

We’re back for our seventh (and perhaps final) installment of “Tourney Watch” as Indiana gets set for the Big Ten tournament on Friday in Indianapolis.

In this edition, we once again take a look at IU’s current nitty gritty profile, updated bracket projections and much more.


At 25-6, Indiana won a pair of games last week that significantly boosted their resume. A road win at Iowa, a top 25 team in the RPI, coupled with a home win over Maryland, No. 12 in the RPI, helped the Hoosiers continue to climb the seed list for the 2016 NCAA tournament.

Nitty Gritty Profile

· Record: 25-6 (15-3 Big Ten)
· RPI: 19
· SOS: 85 (via CBS)
· Home Record: 17-0
· Away Record: 6-4
· Neutral Court Record: 2-2
· vs. RPI Top 50: 6-3 (via Crashing the Dance)
· vs. RPI Top 51-100: 4-0 (via Crashing the Dance)

Indiana moved up eight spots in the RPI since last week’s update and added a pair of top 50 RPI wins over Iowa and Maryland. A resume that once looked shaky in January is all of the sudden very strong.

Current Projections

· Assembly Call (Andy Bottoms): 3 seed in Midwest Region vs. UAB in Des Moines (Updated 3/8)
· ESPN Bracketology (Joe Lunardi): 3 seed in Midwest Region vs. South Dakota State in Des Moines (Updated 3/8)
· CBS Sports (Jerry Palm): 4 seed in South Region vs. South Dakota State in Oklahoma City (Updated 3/7)
· Crashing the Dance: No. 12 overall seed
· Bracket Matrix: Last No. 3 seed

How big was last week for Indiana? The Hoosiers moved up seven spots on the Crashing the Dance seeding list and two seed lines in both the Assembly Call and ESPN projections. In the Bracket Matrix, IU was the last No. 5 seed a week ago and is now the last No. 3 seed.

Around the Big Ten


· Maryland (23-7, RPI 12): At what point do we start asking if the Terps are ever going to figure it out? We might be there after Maryland lost another road game last week at Indiana. The talent is here for a deep run in the tournament, but Maryland’s 4-5 record in Big Ten road games doesn’t impress.
· Michigan State (26-5, RPI 14): The Spartans are hitting the gas pedal as other teams around the country limp to the finish line. Michigan State will be a popular pick to cut down the nets in Houston next month when the bracket is announced next Sunday.
· Purdue (24-7, RPI 16): If you sold high on Purdue when the Boilermakers lost three of five from Feb. 6-20, think again. This team is hot going into the Big Ten tournament and has a chance to climb up a seed line with a big weekend in Indianapolis. What team is going to want to face A.J. Hammons and Isaac Haas in the NCAA tournament?
· Iowa (21-9, RPI 23): After a disappointing loss to Indiana on senior night, the Hawkeyes rebounded and beat Michigan on the road to close out the regular season. Iowa is the No. 5 seed in the Big Ten tournament and will be looking to return to early conference season form in Indy.
· Wisconsin (20-11, RPI 31): Despite a poor record in non-conference play, the Badgers have found new life under Greg Gard. With two battle tested veterans in Bronson Koenig and Nigel Hayes, this is a team capable of a run to the second weekend of the tournament.

Bubble Out

· Michigan (20-11, RPI 67): The Wolverines blew a major chance to get a quality win on Saturday, falling at home to Iowa. That leaves them on the outside looking in as of today. Michigan probably needs to beat Northwestern and Indiana at the minimum in the Big Ten tournament to get back into the discussion.
· Ohio State (19-12, RPI 77): Barring a run to Sunday in the Big Ten tournament, the Buckeyes are headed to the NIT. Their inclusion on this list the past couple of weeks was mainly due to the fact that they had two chances against Michigan State to close the season, but losses in both sealed their fate.

2016 Tournament Sites 

· First Four: Dayton
· First, second rounds: Brooklyn, Denver, Des Moines, Oklahoma City, Providence, Raleigh, Spokane, St. Louis
· Regional: Anaheim, Chicago, Louisville, Philadelphia
· Final Four: Houston

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  • Hoosierkamp

    Didn’t Cody average more points per game than Hammons in any year and our offense didn’t solely revolve around Cody like Purdue’s does? Cody was a lot better offensive player than Hammons in my Mind, probably give defensive edge to Hammons though.

  • Hoosierkamp

    2006. KSB. Not to concerned with spell checking message boards I guess :-)……. Tough crowd Ken today

  • Hoosierkamp

    Even if we lose to sparty…. The would lock a 2 seed and means we also beat Iowa or Purdue ….. Again!!!

  • Hoosierkamp

    Lose to sparty and we are still a 2. Would be another top 50 and top 100 Rpi win

  • calbert40

    I hope you are right and I am wrong. The numbers don’t lie, though. I think we are one of the 8 best teams in the nation, but I barring a tourney championship, I think we are a 3.

  • PocketHoosier

    A #1 seed is as near an impossibility as Bob Knight admitting he was at fault(for anything). Indiana’s highest possible seed is a #2 with a very strong showing in the B1G tourney. Get knocked out without a win and -depending on what happens with the other teams around the country- we will straddle the 3-4 lines. If we make the B1G champ game but dont blow the doors off MSU, we are a 3. The only big accomplishment from winning a B1G tourney would be to knock Sparty off the 1 line. But that doesnt put us up there. We dont have the resume to support it.

  • BL

    Alkins signed with Arizona.

  • calbert40

    I don’t think so, barring some true March Madness in othe conference tournaments.

    Who are we bumping down? Kansas, UNC, Nova, UVa, MSU (especially after we lose to them in your scenario), Xavier, OK, WV, Miami, etc?

    I hope you’re right, but I don’t think we get a 2 without winning the B1G Tourney.

  • SoCal Hoosier

    When you’ve dislocated it as much as he has, an extra week of rest makes zero difference in its propensity to pop out again. I’ve been there while an athlete at IU – play or not play, makes no difference in pain and risk. Those ligaments are so stretched that surgery is the only “cure” at this point, which will likely happen right after the season and take 4 months or so to rehab. That would have him good to go about the time school starts. Meanwhile, as long as it’s in its socket, it doesn’t hurt and you can play.

  • I think you’d be surprised. Don’t get me wrong, I really like Cody.. loved what he did for the program. BUT, throughout that season, I used to think how does a guy that tall, like a seven footer, get his shot blocked so often. Thing is when he drove the paint, he would get down so low, at the end of the drive, he’d get it blocked a lot, when get was trying to bring the ball up out of that position.. You don’t see that with TB.. of course, I don’t think he actually tries getting the ball outside and driving into the paint. He usually will take the shot or dish it off, or drive and dish it off. and it seems when he does drive and take the layup, it doesn’t get blocked, at least not a high percentage of the time.
    I don’t think Thomas crouches down so low on the drive either..and he is longer than Cody, so maybe that helps.. also, Cody was so reluctant to take that outside shot, defenses didn’t have to respect that in his game. I used to think well just take the jumper, but he consistently drove the ball instead of taking the shot. The defense could expect him ti drive. Yes, I was disappointed in that loss in ’13.. but I really think it was more attributable to Jordy’s injury. I think this team this year, wins that game. really I do.. Now we’ll just have to see how we actually do perform in the tourneys.

  • Ole Man

    Agree. Although OK does an excellent job of running him off of screens.

  • BL

    Yeah, I witnessed a couple teammates go through this and I was also relying on the comment you made prior to the Mary game. Seems like every time it went out it took longer for my teammates to get back. Don’t recall specifically but I was assuming the pain level gets worse and stays with you a little longer each time. No?

    Anyway, I do understand the only true cure is surgery.

  • b_side

    I’ll be surprised when presented with some viable stats to back it up this assertion. Otherwise it just feels heavily weighted toward Cody’s last game.

    Then I’d love to see the % of shots that TB gets blocked.

  • BL

    TB is a far superior offensive player. Cody plays in the NBA the same way he played in college. Very limited offensively, pretty good defender, hustles like hell, great glue guy.

  • Hardwood83

    Be careful what you wish for! OU is very good, but they have no bench at all. IU could wear them down like KU did in both wins.

  • Marek Wojciech ?ugowski Lugows

    Concerning optimal seeding: a #2 away from Kansas or Michigan State, until met in the championship game, preferably South region.

  • calbert40

    I think IU could beat both teams, but that’s not what we are discussing in regards to tourney seeding. We are discussing who has the better profile.

    WV (24-6): KenPom, 6; AdjO, 25, AdjD, 4; SOS, 8; 7-7 vs BPI 1-50; 13-7 vs BPI 1-100.
    OK (24-6): KenPom, 7; AdjO, 18; AdjD, 13; SOS, 4; 10-5 vs BPI 1-50; 14-6 vs BPI 1-100.
    IU (25-6): KenPom, 9; AdjO, 4; AdjD, 67; SOS, 72; 7-3 vs BPI 1-50; 10-3 vs BPI 1-100.

    I’m not bad-mouthing our club, but we just don’t have the profile these teams have. An unbiased group of people won’t look at WV and OK as one-dimensional teams. They will look at them as potential #1 seeds, if they win the Big 12 tourney.

  • SoCal Hoosier

    I’ve never experienced any other pain like those three times. It didn’t get worse, it was brutal the first time and every time afterwards. Once it’s back in, though, not that big of a deal – tender and tentative at first, but, like any joint, having a support brace makes a difference, especially in your confidence to play at your normal high level.

    All that said, I was literally in tears for him when it happened again in front of me on Sunday. But talking to him after, he was doing well and clearly knows the drill.

  • BL

    Brutal to watch but really good news that you were able to talk to him and as you say he knows the drill. Still curious – in your comment before the Mary game you said it took you longer to get back the second time; 2-3 weeks if I remember correctly. So why are you so confident JM can return to play so quickly each time he suffers a dislocation?

  • SoCal Hoosier

    Because I didn’t know he had done it so many times. After awhile, everything is so loose in the joint that it doesn’t have the same resistance (both good and bad). Think of a thick rubber band that’s been stretched for awhile…it starts to forget its original shape and strength. Same concept with ligaments that have been abused that many times.

  • Kwang

    A long win streak didn’t hurt the ’76 team.

  • Kwang

    Remember Brian Evans in the Tourney?

  • Kwang

    It was Cody’s neck, it was really long, that’s what made him a seven footer.