March Watch: Hoosiers hold steady on top line

  • 03/01/2013 10:31 am in

IUUMITH0005

We’re down to 16 days remaining until Selection Sunday and despite a loss earlier this week at Minnesota, Indiana continues to hold its position from a seeding perspective for this year’s tournament. The Hoosiers can clinch the outright Big Ten regular season championship with three more conference wins, which could lock up the top spot in the Midwest regional that will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium. With just three regular season games to go, it’s time for another edition of March Watch, a look at where Indiana stands in terms of the NCAA Tournament.

Overview

The Hoosiers have only played once since our last update and despite dropping a 77-73 decision at Minnesota, they still boast one of the strongest overall profiles in the country. In the most recent update, Indiana is No. 1 on the s-curve of ESPN.com bracketologist Joe Lunardi ($).

Nitty Gritty Profile

· Record: 24-4 (12-2 Big Ten)
· RPI: 8
· SOS: 21
· Home Record: 16-1
· Away Record: 6-2
· Neutral Court Record: 2-1
· vs. RPI Top 50: 7-4
· vs. RPI Top 51-100: 2-0

Indiana’s RPI dropped one spot since our last update and its strength of schedule figure rose four spots.

Bracket Projections

· ESPN Bracketology (Joe Lunardi): 1 seed (Midwest) vs. Norfolk State/Robert Morris in Dayton
· CBS Sports (Jerry Palm): 1 seed (Midwest) vs. Robert Morris/Norfolk State in Dayton
· Sports Illustrated (Andy Glockner): 1 seed (Midwest) vs. Robert Morris in Dayton

The Hoosiers remain the No. 1 seed in the Midwest in all three of the bracket projections we’re tracking with the projected path to Atlanta starting in Dayton and then going through Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Several top teams, including Duke, Michigan, Florida, Arizona and Syracuse, also fell this week, so that’s helped IU’s position remain firm. The Bracket Matrix, which aggregates nearly every bracket projection available, has the Hoosiers as the overall No. 1 seed and Crashing the Dance, which uses brackets from the past to predict what the selection committee will do, has IU as the fourth No. 1 seed.

Tournament Sites (distance in miles from Bloomington in parenthesis)

· First round: Dayton (139)
· Second, third rounds: Auburn Hills (295), Austin (881), Dayton (139), Kansas City (435), Lexington (133), Philadelphia (608), Salt Lake City (1343), San Jose (1908)
· Regional: Arlington (723), Indianapolis (45), Los Angeles (1791), Washington D.C. (515)
· Final Four: Atlanta

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  • Guest

    I hope this team responds and finishes strong.

  • HoosierTrav

    We need to close this out. win all three games and the road to the final four will go through Indy.

  • I’m truly baffled by these calculations. Really there are 20 teams with a tougher schedule? Based on what garbage? And the crashing the dance calculations are make no sense either. Indiana has 7 wins against the top 25, the closest anyone has in the rest of the country is 5 (MSU, which IU swept, and Kansas).

  • xCowHoosier

    Just curious what people would prefer :

    1) Outright Big 10 Title
    2) Shared Big 10 Title and Big 10 Tournament Championship

  • PDXHoosier

    Am I the only one that doesn’t like the B1G tournament at all? It’s great if you are a bad team trying to play your way into the dance. If you have a high seed locked up, it’s just another chance to have an injury or get tired out. Unless you do like UK last year and just lose on purpose, which I would hate.
    Of course, I might feel otherwise if IU didn’t stink it up in every B1G tournament since its inception.

  • MisterSlippery

    Outright

  • The body of work done to date is impressive. The top seeding is nice but with two tough games against OSU and Michigan nothing is assured. I do feel we take at least 2 out of 3 and then maintain the one seed. That should get us to Indy which is a huge advantage. Then on to the final four. The key is CZ, VO and Yogi playing at their potential. Cwat, Will, and Jordy obviously also need to play well – but if the first three falter it will be a problem. The the depth from Elston, Jeremy and one of my fav players – Mo should cement it. Great season so far and the best is yet to come.

  • The body of work done to date is impressive. The top seeding is nice but with two tough games against OSU and Michigan nothing is assured. I do feel we take at least 2 out of 3 and then maintain the one seed. That should get us to Indy which is a huge advantage. Then on to the final four. The key is CZ, VO and Yogi playing at their potential. Cwat, Will, and Jordy obviously also need to play well – but if the first three falter it will be a problem. The the depth from Elston, Jeremy and one of my fav players – Mo should cement it. Great season so far and the best is yet to come.

  • xCowHoosier

    I’m with you…I want the regular season outright title…I could do without the B1G tourney…

  • calbert40

    I’d prefer an outright title. I think the accomplishment of being the best team in the best conference in the country for 2+ months is greater than being the best team in the best conference for 3 days.

  • Miamihoosier

    This year’s tournament is going to have a ridiculous amount of “upsets”. The most talented teams aren’t the highest ranked this season for various reasons, but,teams sitting at #4 seeds and lower right now like Syracuse, NC State, Arizona, even VCU, have the talent and experience to make a final 4 run……our draw is crucial. Give me St Mary’s in the round of 32 (right now a 9 seed), let Gonzaga try to take out the Wolfpack…

  • IUfanToby

    No tourney. Just play everyone in the leage twice and let things fall as they may.

  • IUfanToby

    No tourney. Just play everyone in the leage twice and let things fall as they may.

  • calbert40

    I believe that figure is based on an average of the difficulty ranking of all opponents faced at the time they were played. I could be wrong, but it is similar to that.

    Obviously, we have played a very difficult schedule through the conference, but also playing teams like Georgetown, Butler and UNC help our difficulty ranking. That said, playing teams like Bryant and Ball State certainly drag down the difficulty ranking.

    Personally, I think schedule difficulty should be weighted. Every team plays a few cupcakes, but the sheer number of difficult games should count for something. I don’t care if Team A played the #1 and #2 team, but no one else…that schedule isn’t as difficult as playing 8 games vs the Top 50.

  • Earl Scheib

    The Big 10 championship is vastly preferable to the Big 10 Tourney. The regular season is brutal enough. The tourney is yet another creation of marketing and the relentless quest for advertising dollars. Today’s WSJ had a piece on the new uniforms some teams will have in the Big Dance. So glad we didn’t take the bait. Guess I’m a purist, but that’s what Indiana basketball is all about. There is no program like ours and there never will be.

  • Daren Collentine

    Has anyone noticed that all of our losses were games that ESPN televised? And they always seem to have shady calls and no-calls that keep the games close. Hmmmm ratings?

  • pcantidote

    I won’t be too upset if we lose early in the big ten tourney. We might at least avoid injuries and be fresher for the next week.

  • calbert40

    I’d be cool with playing everyone twice, but I have to admit that I enjoy the tourney too. I just wish we played better in it!

  • calbert40

    I’d be cool with playing everyone twice, but I have to admit that I enjoy the tourney too. I just wish we played better in it!

  • R

    I always have issues with the refs, but never in my life have I seen this level of highly questionable calls go against one team in a conference season as the hoosiers had to endure this year.. Yeah,Mbakwe got ball but he also ran over Zeller in the process. I don’t even want to get started on the Michigan state game.. Something is wrong with the refs this year,, TV teddy no surprise, but the ones who are anticipating fouls and jumping around and playing to the crowd are just ridiculous. Godspeed hoosiers..

  • I’d prefer the outright.

    The only thing I like the BTT for is a practice run at a single elimination tournament on a neutral floor against good competition with amped up ramifications. It’s like walking the tight wire, but you get one try with a net. The following week, they take the net away. That’s how I feel about it this year, since the goal for this team is final four.

  • NotTheRealSteveEyl

    Outright. BTT is just for TV, reg season is where you prove you are good.

    Honestly, the way to determine who is the best team in a group is a home and home round robin, like the old big ten, or English Premier League Soccer.

    But TV loves a tourney.

  • NotTheRealSteveEyl

    Outright. BTT is just for TV, reg season is where you prove you are good.

    Honestly, the way to determine who is the best team in a group is a home and home round robin, like the old big ten, or English Premier League Soccer.

    But TV loves a tourney.

  • NotTheRealSteveEyl

    Total non-sequitur, but why is the scoreboard in the pic above blank except for the team names?

  • Mike Coleman

    Why Dayton instead of Lexington?

  • NotTheRealSteveEyl

    Not sure if this is going to get posted, but this is pretty unbelievable: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/03/magazine/coach-bobby-knight-on-why-hes-so-unpleasant.html?hp&_r=0

    At this point, he just makes me sad…

  • iufan8

    You are exactly right, the BTT is just or TV. Their is no point in it at all except to get your automatic bids. What I would do for your automatic bids is take the team with the best record or if their is a tie in a non-power 6 conference, they play a one game playoff at a neutral site decided by the NCAA. For example, if Saint Louis and VCU tie on top of the A10, they play a game in Louisville or Lexington or Nashville. It would get your automatic bids for your leagues like the Ivy League when their is a tie but that does not happen very often in a smaller league like that anyway.

  • Wyatt

    In Bob Knight’s new book he talks about how much he likes good officials and how they are “priceless” as are all rare things Lol. But I personally just believe that good clean officiating is a lost art. It just seems like refs can’t seem to get it right in any sport. I’m not saying refs have it out for IU (Ted V being the exception) but officials for whatever reason want to be a part of the “show”. Bad officiating ruins the pace and makes games inconclusive.

  • b_side

    No conspiracy here. We trounced North Carolina on ESPN in what amounted to be a very highly rated game for the WWL.

    More importantly, the top rated games on ESPN this season were IU-Mich (Gameday) and IU @ Mich St. Granted the game vs. Sparty had some strange things going on with the Wat elbow and Cody’s nutgate, but the fact is we won both games.

  • marcusgresham

    …based on the fact that they’ve had to do something IU hasn’t—play IU.

  • marcusgresham

    People seem to be of the belief that Duke will be sent to Lexington. I still won’t be shocked if IU is in Lexington, as it’s a much bigger arena than Dayton that is sure to be sold out if Indiana is playing there.

  • TorontoHoosierFan

    Sad says it all. Knight had a great 20 year run with IU, but now everything he says and touches just seems toxic. He should just get away from the spotlight. And enough with the overtures to come back for a ‘hero’s’ welcome. Ask once and that’s it.

  • Tom S

    And he’s been asked that “once”, multiple times.