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Draft watch: Oladipo’s stock on the rise

Alex Bozich
by in Media | January 3rd, 2013

IUUNCITH0012The last time Indiana had two first round NBA Draft picks was in 2008, which followed one of the most tumultuous seasons in school history. In June of 2008, both Eric Gordon (Los Angeles Clippers) and D.J. White (Detroit Pistons, traded to Oklahoma City Thunder) both had their names called by David Stern.

Could the Hoosiers be on their way to multiple first round picks again this summer? Inside the Hall takes a look at the current stock of IU’s potential draft candidates:

Cody Zeller
ESPN: (5) Draft Express: (3) NBADraft.net: (1)

· Analysis: Despite taking criticism from some in the national media for not being dominant enough through IU’s first 14 games, Zeller’s position is still in the top five of just about every mock draft out there. He’s easily the most effective running big man in college basketball and is incredibly polished for a seven-footer who just turned 20. His numbers may not make the dramatic jump that some were expecting because of IU’s incredible balance on offense, but you get the feeling that Zeller’s best basketball is still ahead of him this season.

· Expert opinion: “He runs the floor, he can play center and power forward. He’s not gonna have a major impact as far as scoring, but he’s going to have a major impact as far as being a team player because he’s got it all. He can block shots, he runs the floor, he’s got pretty decent moves, he can shoot a little bit. I think he’s going to be a really, really good player immediately for an NBA team.” – NBA scout to Inside the Hall’s Justin Albers

Victor Oladipo
ESPN: (31) Draft Express: (28) NBADraft.net: (34)

· Analysis: Oladipo has been called IU’s best player so far this season and that’s a fair analysis given how he’s impacted the game on both ends of the floor. Offensively, he’s continued to relentlessly attack the rim and convert, but he’s also mixed in a more reliable perimeter shot that makes him more attractive to the next level. Defensively, Oladipo is building a list of top scorers on the opposition that he’s been able to take out of games. Given how much he’s improved in his 30 months in Bloomington, there’s no reason to believe Oladipo shouldn’t continue to get better for the foreseeable future.

· Expert opinion: “Love him. One of my favorite players in the country. He’s gonna be a first round pick in this year’s draft. If he can convince scouts that his 45% shooting from beyond the arc isn’t a fluke — lottery isn’t out of the question.” – ESPN.com’s Chad Ford

Christian Watford
ESPN: (155) Draft Express: (No. 23 senior) NBADraft.net: (N/A)

· Analysis: After a 27-point performance against a loaded Kentucky team in last year’s NCAA Tournament, Watford saw his stock rise slightly and as a result, he considered entering last June’s draft. But after receiving feedback, the Birmingham native decided to return for his senior season. His stock has actually fallen fairly significantly in the ESPN rankings since the summer. While he’s a very good college player, Watford’s best chance to make a NBA roster will be as a 3-point specialist with size. At this point, he appears to be a longshot to be drafted.

Yogi Ferrell
ESPN: (150) Draft Express: (No. 29 freshman) NBADraft.net: (N/A)

· Analysis: Ferrell isn’t going anywhere after this season, but we include him here because he’s already getting some love from both ESPN and Draft Express. As of now, the Worldwide Leader lists him as favorable in these areas: basketball IQ, mid range game, pushing the tempo, toughness and aggressiveness with his 3-point shot as well as strength as areas for improvement.

  • hardcore_hoosier

    During the offseason I would not have felt this way, but Oladipo is more likely to go to draft this year than Zeller. Vic is more prepared to make an impact at this point assuming his improved shooting continues. Z needs show more strength rebounding and defensively to battle at the next level. Put it this way, at this point I can see Vic guarding the 2 effectively moreso than Zeller guarding the 4 or 5. He certainly will get there, just not yet.

  • Geoff_85

    More freshmen in the top 150 than seniors. I really hope the NBA gets rid of the 1 year out of high school rule. Then maybe you know who from pUKe will go back to coaching in the NBA.

  • Miamihoosier

    I think Hulls has a better chance at the NBA one day than Watford. The NBA has plenty of guards who are awful defenders. Nash, Reddick, Berrea, Lin, and more… The only players I’ve seen in the NBA that remind me of Watford, are the + 36 yr old verions of Sam Perkins, Robert Horry, and Rashard Lewis…6″9 guys with no athleticism that stood on the 3 point line hoisting shots when/if their team’s shooting guards got doubled teamed. Not hating on Watford, I love him as a Hoosier, just saying as a pro, the prospects seem dim

  • Hoosier_Asian

    Oladipo has slowly grown to be the most valuable player for IU and also my favorite player. The selfish side of me wants him to stay another year, but if he goes, I wish him the best of luck and I know he will represent us very well.

  • Kenneth234

    While I get that Oladipo has showed a tremendous amount of growth in many aspects of his game, I think that it is realistically he needs to be very careful with such a major life decision. For one, he is a very hard worker and will certainly (as mentioned by the scout) continue his improvement through practice; which hints to the fact that he will more likely than not be near the same spot next year. For two, he is a 3rd year college player, generally there are only a few categories of players; either a one or two year and done player drafted on raw athletic ability and potential, somewhat established international players, international players drafted on potential due to size and small glimpses of skill against lesser caliber opponents, three year college players who have off the court issues (personal or academically) college Juniors who have finally received tremendous national accolade (Conference POY, aka Thomas Robinson) and college seniors who NBA scouts are very comfortable drafting due to the player being mature and understanding his game (aka: Dramond Green).

    Then there is the money part of the equation. Only the top 23 players will receive a contract that will pay $1 million in the first year. Scouts, especially those who’s job is to find a player that can fit a team whether that be in the 1st or 2nd round, or un-drafted free agency have a vested interest in convincing players that their stock will land them in that 1st round. It would not take much of an imagination for anyone to see that there could likely be 15 to 30 kids who are told that they could be drafted in the 1st round, if not in that middle area toward the top half of the 1st round.

    The questions are: would Oladipo be better off if he left this year and landed middle to late 1st round, or would he be better off being an incredibly savvy presence that leaves NBA drafts will all their questions answered about his shooting and ball handling answered? Would coming back for a Senior season hurt his draft stock or not? And finally, whenever he goes, would he find playing time and be ready to be at minimal a role player at the next.

  • Evansville Hoosier

    The draft this year is weaker than most… And I think you left out a category “players of any year who finally reach their potential”. I think he will go this year because this is when he will be drafted highest. The higher he is drafted, the more a franchise has invested in him, and the more likely he is to have a longer career… He is my favorite player and I would love nothing more than for him to come back, but I think he’d be smart to go.

  • Evansville Hoosier

    The draft this year is weaker than most… And I think you left out a category “players of any year who finally reach their potential”. I think he will go this year because this is when he will be drafted highest. The higher he is drafted, the more a franchise has invested in him, and the more likely he is to have a longer career… He is my favorite player and I would love nothing more than for him to come back, but I think he’d be smart to go.

  • xCowHoosier

    If/when Yogi goes to the NBA I wonder if he will still bounce around in anticipation of the inbound pass (after opponent made basket)…my absolute favorite thing about watching him play thus far…

  • calbert40

    “Lottery isn’t out of the question.” Ugh. I think Victor is going to explode in the NBA, where teams don’t play defense. His one on one game will flourish, and I’d love to see him wearing blue and gold!!

    But I’d love for him to be honored on Senior Night next year.

  • Kenneth234

    And there will be a lot of one and done’s who enter the draft because this draft year is being considered a weak one. Then there will be a lot of decisions for NBA front office people to decide if they go with 19 year old potential or with a player with a few more years on him. Oladipo is my favorite player on the team as well, but I do not believe Oladipo has reached his potential yet, just exceeded his incoming expectations.

  • Pinehurst

    If Oladipo goes early It would be a shame to miss his senior speech, it would be hilarious.

  • CreanFaithful

    Your Caps Lock button is stuck… Also, what logic are you using to determine that players are better prepared for success in the NBA by staying in college? Players have a better opportunity to develop on an NBA roster, where they spend ALL their time working on their game.

  • yimyames

    Yeah, if you want to go after high school, then go. I never understood why you would practically make someone go to college that does not want to be there.

  • yimyames

    Yeah, if you want to go after high school, then go. I never understood why you would practically make someone go to college that does not want to be there.

  • b_side

    Not sure what the problem is if VO is a late first-rounder vs. top 23. Either way, he’s got a 3-5 year guaranteed contract. Someone picked 30th still earns like $850K in his first year. The categories of players you listed is flawed. Sorry, but it doesn’t work out that cleanly based on a player’s age/year in college.

    I also think you’re mistaking scouts with agents. Agents have a vested interest in the player they are representing. Agents want the coveted first-round promise from a team who worked out and interviewed said player.

    Scouts are looking after the interests of the team (GM) that employs them. Scouts don’t give promises, they inform decision makers in the organization.

    Even if Vic isn’t ready to immediately contribute, that’s ok. That’s what the NBDL is for. He can hone the nuances of the game against vastly superior competition vs. what’s currently available in the B1G.

    Our summer will be a lot less stressful if Vic leaves early. His early departure would make Crean look like a talent developing savant as well.

  • CreanFaithful

    “Zeller’s position is still in the top five of just about every mock draft out there”… “I think he’s going to be a really, really good player immediately for an NBA team.” Which part of those statements are confusing?

    I’m not saying that he will go, but it will be his option. Perhaps you were just commenting about how ready you perceive them as being able to play minutes right away (and you are certainly welcome to your opinion). But as far as that goes, I’m not sure I see either of them getting very many minutes initially.

  • yimyames

    A lot of it is potential though. I think you could make an argument for either guy as to who has the higher ceiling.

    If you was an owner and had your choice who do you pick?

    I’d have to go with Cody at this point, he is gonna learn a lot the next few years and improve as a result. OTOH, sometimes i see things Victor does, and I can’t help to think of DWade the year he won the championship before LeBron. There are little things that them two do that WOW! you, and usually you didn’t see it coming. A unique trait thats hard to pass on.

  • Kenneth234

    NBDL is a league for players that just don’t want to give up the dream of playing basketball. Rarely is there anyone who returns to the NBA after being placed in the D league. Agents will try to pull talented players into the draft so that there will be a worth while player in the later portions for their team to take, and credit them with. Agents are generally looking for a payoff, scouts are looking for prestige based on their abilities. And part of that is recruiting when there is supposed to be a small talent pool and still 60 picks.

  • http://www.insidethehall.com/ Alex Bozich

    Players get sent down to the D-League and then are called back up all of the time.

  • hardcore_hoosier

    Haha confusing, okay then. I’m saying for the role these guys will play in the NBA that Vic’s game is more ready. Which it is. Yes Zeller is projected in the top five and will be drafted higher when he decides to go. I don’t feel he will go this year and Vic will for one. But skilled big men are a rare commodity and his skills are useful now, I get that. He has work to do to matchup well. Can you honestly say he can matchup against a Dwight Howard at this time? No way. Just like Mason Plumlee has done Zeller will benefit from another year to develop the strength he needs. Draft stock based on potential was not my challenge. It’s role readiness today I was discussing.

  • SCHoosier

    The NBA puts a premium big men period. Look at some of the guys who have stuck around based on their size. If Cody’s brother is playing pro now..Cody certainly can..whenever he wants too.

  • Kenneth234

    …to be on the practice squad, not to be a factor on the floor.

  • WatchingYogi_atYogis

    I was curious about the decision to not include Sheehey on here. Not getting much love then from the experts? I’d say he’s coming back for another year (not going to get drafted in the first couple of rounds anyway). But you’ve got Yogi on here…

  • b_side

    Check out the headline at the NBDL website (nba/dleague). A whopping 118 current NBA players have D-league experience.

    The Pacers do it all the time with Miles Plumlee and Orlando Johnson, depending on injuries.

  • IUFAN87

    Agree with Zeller, VO, and Yogi but IMO just watching the draft last year I am pretty sure CW is going to get drafted. They talked about him wondering why he didn’t enter one of them said to the other in a sarcasm voice I don’t know any team that would want a 6’8 SF that can shoot the ball do you? and the guy laughed and said naw who would want that. My point is when you watch CW play there is so much more he can do with the right motivation. If you can get him in the gym put on 10 more lbs and get him playing physical he has the potential to be starter.

  • IUFAN87

    I was thinking the same thing maybe it is because he isn’t a starter I don’t know but I cant see how they can leave him off in the near future because he is another who stock is going up

  • IUFAN87

    I was thinking the same thing maybe it is because he isn’t a starter I don’t know but I cant see how they can leave him off in the near future because he is another who stock is going up

  • b_side

    You’re misinformed. One of the most well-known examples is Jeremy Lin. I could throw out Marcin Gortat, Matt Barnes, CJ Miles…the list goes on. Maybe they aren’t household names, but they are productive role players.

  • WatchingYogi_atYogis

    Tell that to JaJuan Johnson.

  • CreanFaithful

    My thoughts exactly. But I realized while typing my post, many people (including my friends in arguments) try to rationalize being ready for the NBA, as being ready to guard [insert stud all-star] right away. I don’t think either of them are there, but I do think BOTH of them are “NBA ready.”

  • CreanFaithful

    LOL… I pretty much figured that out half way through my post. Thus the change in tone :)

  • Hardwood83

    I think both CWat & Hulls will get paid to play ball- if they choose to. Not likely in the NBA, but Watfords game may be a better fit for Euro style anyway.

    As for Vic being IU’s best player so far, I don’t think anyone that has watched most games could disagree. BUT I still wouldn’t say he’s the team MVP. If (GOD FORBID!) you had to choose between either Vic & Cody for the rest of the year, who do you take? Will could play Vic’s spot and more or less cover it. No one else comes close to what Zeller provides. The thought of Perea starting at Center in the B1G this year is chilling. I still think Cody is IU’s only irreplaceable player.

  • Dagwoods

    I agree that Cody is irreplaceable, but don’t sell yourself short on the importance of Vic. I have seen Vic take over and win games more than I have seen Cody do it.

  • Dagwoods

    I agree that Cody is irreplaceable, but don’t sell yourself short on the importance of Vic. I have seen Vic take over and win games more than I have seen Cody do it.

  • mel_anon

    One thing to think about regarding Oladipo: if he stays, he is going to be a much bigger factor in IUs offense next year with no Hulls, Zeller, or Watford to share the ball. He’ll get a much bigger chance to demonstrate that his all-around offensive game, notably his outside shot, is for real. If he has a strong year as IUs go-to guy then a big leap up the draft is a real possibility. If you’re a borderline first-rounder, that would have to factor in your decision. Of course, it’s also possible that his stock will continue to go up the remainder of this season.

  • Scott Berryman

    Our guard defense outside of VO is appauling. It is far worse than the athletic defense Hanner and Peter can play, freshmen or not. No way I want hulls or yogi trying to lock down Burke, Craft, Appling, Hollins, Paul, etc.

    What VO adds on defense is far greater than CZ on defense. CZ gets the nod on offense, but how many times in 3 seasons have we seen VO get out hustled or muscled by an opponent? CZ against Butler was a weak moment that I have never witnesses from VO

  • Scott Berryman

    Hmmmm…. What about the NBA team that made the playoffs and has the 26 th pick and they are in the Eastern Conference. Let’s say it is the Knicks. Most likely the Knicks are going to have a lot of offensive firepower. Furthermore, they have shown the ability to make trades to get who they want. If you are the Knicks, why not draft VO to guard players like Wade, Rondo, Irving, etc 20 min per night who can run slash and score in the league where defense takes too much effort.

    Think Bruce Bowen but with more offensive upside. The Spurs never win 3 NBA titles without Bowen’s 30 min of defense every night and locking up the opponents best guards.

  • IU_Sweet16:#1-2013!

    I don’t give a damn about the NBA. Don’t want to hear about it. This is a COLLEGE basketball venue.

  • Clem

    Not a chance about Hulls playing in NBA. Yes there are bad defenders who play PG in the NBA, but all of the ones you mentioned are much quicker than Hulls. Maybe not Reddick, but look how hard it has been for him to scrap out a decent NBA career. Plus he is bigger and all around much better than Hulls. Again, Jordan is one of my fav. players, but I saw Reddick play in Assembly Hall (7th row) last time Duke played there and the performance Reddick put on was amazing. Assembly Hall was most loud I had ever heard it and JJ dropped 30+ cool all the way. Much better overall scorer than Hulls and the best College player I have ever seen in person to be honest. I mostly agree with what you said about Watford, though I think he is a much better comparison to the guys you listed. Those guys all great NBA careers — could see him making a squad at least for a few years.

    …Let’s hope Olapido somehow comes back for his senior year!

  • Clem

    Not a chance about Hulls playing in NBA. Yes there are bad defenders who play PG in the NBA, but all of the ones you mentioned are much quicker than Hulls. Maybe not Reddick, but look how hard it has been for him to scrap out a decent NBA career. Plus he is bigger and all around much better than Hulls. Again, Jordan is one of my fav. players, but I saw Reddick play in Assembly Hall (7th row) last time Duke played there and the performance Reddick put on was amazing. Assembly Hall was most loud I had ever heard it and JJ dropped 30+ cool all the way. Much better overall scorer than Hulls and the best College player I have ever seen in person to be honest. I mostly agree with what you said about Watford, though I think he is a much better comparison to the guys you listed. Those guys all great NBA careers — could see him making a squad at least for a few years.

    …Let’s hope Olapido somehow comes back for his senior year!

  • Clem

    I agree with your analysis of the players, but Zeller not go pro? Since I read in Sports Illustrated that he will only be a few credits away from graduating after his sophomore year I gave up all hope of him coming back. Hope you are right and there is a chance! We would still be a title contender next yeah with him around, even if we do lose Victor.

  • OldIUGymnast

    I saw Matty Barnes play at Sacramento when he was just out of D-League – what a great talent and great story. I got to meet him when I was visiting one of my old students who is the Mascot at the Bucks – visiting Sac for their annual mascot pandemonium. He was just a great kid – big heart and grateful to be there.

    I think we all tend to under appreciate Jordan Hulls. That guy is a fantastic shooter and, while he gets caught on screens and is a little slow getting in front of driving guards, he plays some of the best team D in the BIG. I think if he continues to grow as a player, he can be a scary combination of Mike Bibby and Steve Nash – probably a few years down the road, but Nash and Bibby didn’t show up as big stars either.

  • Geoff_85

    Well it just happens to directly affect IU, so it certainly applies to COLLEGE basketball. Quite frankly, I don’t care about the NBA either, but considering Victor Oladipo has been very, very good as of late, I want to know what the chances are of him forgoing his senior season. Of course there is also the added element of a scholarship “situation” that Indiana has next year, so that also made me wonder what Ferrell’s chances were of going. I don’t think this article’s intentions are to say, “Look! IU sends players to the NBA!” and even if those were the intentions, I’m ok with that because when you have a coach who sends highly ranked recruits to the NBA, and also recruits who are outside of the top 100 upon entering college, that gives Indiana all kinds of credit in player development. Guess what, recuits and their parents certainly care about how they’ll develop their game at the college level and it’s a huge factor in choosing a college. Furthermore, do you just not care about the players once they leave Indiana? I mean, this article is about the players and their chances of getting to the next level, it’s not really about the NBA. Lastly, as long as we’re bluntly stating our opinions, you know what I care about even less than the NBA? Your opinion on the NBA and whether you like hearing about it. Having said that, go Hoosiers!

  • http://www.facebook.com/eric.wojcik Eric Wojcik

    You’re perfectly welcome not to join this post or thread, then. Others do care.

  • marcusgresham

    I don’t think Mason Plumlee is ready to match up against Dwight Howard either.

  • marcusgresham

    Don’t forget a previous post that stated he’s on target to graduate in May. That may also have some bearing in his decision.

  • marcusgresham

    He might sing it.

  • marcusgresham

    He might sing it.

  • BlakeD1223

    I really started to notice last year that Olidipo was made for the NBA. His style is perfect for the next level. I think he’s more deserving of the NBA then anyone on our team right now. I think Cody can definitely play in the NBA but I don’t think he’ll be that productive. There’s no way he’ll be a center. I think he can contribute to teams like it was mentioned above but I see him being no better then a Tyler Hansbourogh. (Which there’s nothing wrong with that) In the end he’ll just be a good role player.

    I really hope Olidipo comes back next year. I don’t think his stock will drop at all next year. It’ll only get better. WIth that said though we are currently watching Watford’s stock drop. I just think Olidipo is a better player and can do more then Watford and will only improve his jumper which will draw more eyeballs his way for the NBA.

  • SCHoosier

    Not unless he puts some Kryptonite in his jock:)

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