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Fan Report: Hulls or Rivers at PG? Think again.

by in Fan Report | June 28th, 2010

INDIANAPOLIS - MARCH 11: Guard Verdell Jones III #12 of the Indiana Hoosiers drives with the ball the Northwestern Wildcats during the first round of the Big Ten Men's Basketball Tournament at Conseco Fieldhouse on March 11, 2010 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)The Fan Report is Inside the Hall’s version of Letters to the Editor. Submit a Fan Report at this link. Today’s entry was submitted by Joe Moffo.

Upon viewing Inside the Hall today, I noticed the new poll on who the starting PG for next season should be. The two options: Jordan Hulls and Jeremiah Rivers. As I saw this the only thought that came to my head was “None of the Above.”

Now don’t get me wrong, I love Jordan Hulls, but I don’t think he is going to be next year’s starter and here is why:

- Prior to Hulls’ explosion against Northwestern, Tom Crean decided that Verdell Jones was going to take over the duties as PG. The reasons? Plentiful. Jones is not a consistent threat to shoot the ball from outside like a two-guard or a three can. Also, Maurice Creek or not, Jones is arguably the top threat on the team to drive the lane and create a shot for himself or a teammate, or get to the line (Jones lead the team and was 2nd in conference with 6.1 attempts per game from the line). Also, Jones has the experience and the savvy, he was clearly the only player on the roster willing to step up in the clutch when needed most (see Minnesota game).

- Hulls off the point allows him to work more freely, and thus creates more shot opportunities. And let us all be honest, Hulls contributions are going to come from behind the arc. He doesn’t have the size or athleticism to break down the D and barrel down the lane.

- Rivers is not a good offensive player. He was anything but the calm, experienced leader this team needed. Also, he can’t shoot at all, if you didn’t notice. He’s valuable for his defense off the bench, and of course, blocking weak break-away layups.

Next season is up in the air in my mind. But at this point, I see Crean utilizing a lineup of Jones, Creek, Christian Watford, Derek Elston, and Bobby Capobianco. This team though young, lengthy, athletic, and after watching Elston emerge late, it would have four legitimate scoring threats. It would also take the 3-pointer, allowing the offense to spread the floor the Tom Crean way.

  • Outoftheloop

    Roth may have the best potential as a 3 pt threat, but in actual games he is IU's 3rd best option: Creek .448%, Hulls .402%, Roth (2008-09) .373%, Elston .360%, Watford .319%, Capo .313%, Jones .273%, Rivers .000% (0/5). It will be interesting to see what Sheehey and Oladipo can do. I predict Sheehey at .360% and Oladipo at .310%. I also predict that Jones has done his “homework” and improves to .310% or better (in fairness he had to launch some last second shots just because he was not afraid to shoot, as the time clock ran out).

  • http://www.prinsportsblog.com BGleas

    I have seen plenty of Nash as well, up close as I used to work for an NBA team in PR and basically sat on the bench for 5 years, Nash is much quicker than people realize, especially with the ball in his hands. He's not fast, but he's extremely quick. Part of that is being smart since he's decisive with his moves and sure of himself in where he wants to get to, but another part is that he's also a tremendous athlete, something Hulls isn't at this point.

    I guess I saw very little Steve Nash in Hulls last season. I fully understand that he'll get better and was only a freshmen, but I would agree more with the other comparisons like Lewis, Coverdale and maybe Graves.

  • http://www.prinsportsblog.com BGleas

    I totally agree that Hulls should watch plenty of Nash tape. The guy sees angles and lanes like nobody else.

  • stonaroni

    No way Roth plays over Rivers, Hulls, VO or Sheehey. All four are behind VJIII and Creek. Given that CW was a highly touted SF, Roth figures nowhere in the plans at #2 or #3 in 2010-11 or beyond.

    I could see VJIII and Rivers as dual PG on the floor with Creek, CW and DE/Guy way before Roth sniffs some PT. Hulls can shoot the ball too. I will take his 2 inches height disadvantage any day to have his passing, shooting, ball/offense control on the court.

    I am confused as to why he is so remembered as a good player. He made 9 3's in a game which is no easy feat, but his defense is horrific and he is by far the slowest guard we have. Outside of spot up shooting when we are down by 10 with 5 minutes to go, I do not see where roth fits in. As that stands, I will take VO getting after it on defense creating steals or pressuring the ball to create turnovers and helps us cut into the lead that way. Roth hits a 3 and his man comes down the floor and drives to the hole for a lay up we are +1; CW hits a j and VO stiffles a driving guard, we are +2, if he steals and scores we are +4. I choose defense.

  • http://www.prinsportsblog.com BGleas

    People aren't commenting as if they know what's going to happen or what the lineup will be, we're commenting with our opinions, without those sites like these would cease to exist.

  • stonaroni

    If VJIII and CW improve their 3 pt shooting just slighlty there will be no need for a 6'3″ guard to come off the bench for anything.

  • hgdownunder

    Remember that article some time back about how much improvement college athletes make between their freshman and sophmore years? I hope Hulls makes such an improvement – I hold no hope for Rivers and I think we need a specialist PG.

  • Outoftheloop

    Last season Jones had 87 TO and 105 A in 31.4 min/game, that is 1.21 A/TO; Hulls had 37 TO and 45 A in 25.1 min/game, that is 1.22 A/TO; and Rivers had 86 TO and 106 A in 28.4 min/game, that is 1.23 A/TO. The A/TO issue is dead even, scoring, not so much: Jones 14.9/game .399%; Hulls 6.4/game .406%; Rivers 6.0/game .404%. You must have Jones on the court!

  • IULINEMAN

    Disagree with this statement

    IU lost Mo Creek last year and struggled….if the shoe were on the other foot and IU lost VJ3 last year, we would not have won 10 games.

    Love your posts and VJIII but dont believe for a second that we win more games with VJIII than Mo and I think we will see more of Jordy next year as he will firmly entrench himself as an IU starter

    My five are Hulls, Mo, CW, DE and center by committee. VJIII first off bench for Hulls,Mo or CW

    GO IU!!!!!!!!

  • WatchClosely

    TC got a glimse of it last year, this year it will be more prevalent and blatantly obvious to everyone with any basketball brain at all, … just like all those years on the multi-talented championship aau teams he played on… the team will play markably better with HULLS on the floor. Those that think he is a defensive liability don’t understand team defense… the liabilities on defense are VJ and JR (yes, I said it… too many chances, he prefers to let his man go to make a crowd pleasing block from behind – it doesn;’t work). I don’t think PG distinction matters that much. On fast break opportrunities, it needs to be Hulls leading us down court, he will get the ball in the right place, VJ will turn it over, and JR will charge out of control. On set offense we need to set Hulls up for the 3, he will shoot over 50% next year (mark my words). He won’t be out of games long… we won’t be able to afford it. Everyone else will bde interchangeable, not HULLS. He has earned the res[pect of his teamates, coaches, and this year will capture the respect of the fans. Too much hype?You need tro watch closer. Too much pressure? You don’t know Jordan. He is thr catalyst on and off the court.

  • Outoftheloop

    Did you see Nash at age 18-19? What is your basis for the “great athlete” conclusion? Just watching basketball, or other sports as well? He could easily be a great athlete, he certainly is a great basketball player. Do you think that he is a better athlete than Rondo or Jennings? Again he is a much better basketball player than either. I do not know anything about Nash in other sports, track and field, etc. Please fill me in. Thanks.

  • JerryCT

    Good questions.

    My basic premise is that I have NOT seen the kind of convincing quickness from 3 of the 4 “out” guys in our 4 out layout ( VJ3, MC, CW and Hulls ) to believe they will reliably get separation in the dribble drive.

    What I do know is that they are all pretty long ( ex Hulls ) and DE/BC are good passers while TP is a reliable passer. Therefore 1) we create separation from screens not from dribbling and 2) use the 4 and 5 to dump down to the long guards. MC, JR and VJ3 are all pretty good around the basket.

    By using this 40% of the time a) Hulls gets to play where he is most comfy and b) I believe we can better use VO and Sheehey around the basket as well .

  • http://www.prinsportsblog.com BGleas

    It's pretty common knowledge that Nash grew up as a pretty good soccer player in Canada before getting into basketball, he even still plays in soccer leagues during the offseason. Most believe his soccer background is why he sees the angles and passing lanes so well.

    Plus, my conclusion as I said, is from working in the NBA and seeing him up close from courtside seating for several years. I was in the PR Department for the team I was with for five years, which meant I basically sat on the bench for games, I was also on the teams scoring crew for a year, so I've seen it in person.

  • Tberry

    “I see Crean utilizing a lineup of Jones, Creek, Christian Watford, Derek Elston, and Bobby Capobianco.”

    We have seen this team many times last season and it wasn't anything special. No reason to think it will be much better this coming year!!!

  • Diesel

    You've done it again, nice work. Somewhere JerryCT is proud.

  • http://www.prinsportsblog.com BGleas

    Actually we didn't see this lineup that much last season. Creek only played in about the first 11 games, and during that time Rivers was the primary point guard, not Jones, and Elston and Capo weren't in the regular rotation. Elston and Capo didn't see regular minutes until towards the end of the season, when Creek was out.

  • http://www.insidethehall.com/ Alex Bozich

    It's his real last name.

  • Outoftheloop

    I agree. But if Capo or Pritchard is the 5th starter IU, will not be winning as many games as I think that they should win.

  • johnny

    Okay, everyone keeps saying that Hulls is not quick enough………..he is quicker than VJ. He is the most in shape player we have. Ask coach Wat. He finishes first in everything. Just because he is a 6 foot white kid doesn’t mean he is nonathletic………………..

  • Outoftheloop

    Thanks

  • Kelin Blab

    I know we talk alot about VJ3 not being very good with the ball when it comes to sloppy handling and some of his decision making….however…what do we want from VJ? Does his positives outweigh the negatives…for me yes.

    Positives
    + scoring threat
    + best guard at getting into the lane and finishing
    + Good F/T shooter
    + Team Leader. I saw this more last year, especially in the Purdue game, this team feeds off of verdell jones more than any other player
    + Toughness…say what you want, only one player has showed up and improved each year from early season to late….Verdell Jones

    I will take these positives over his negatives any day. IU lost Mo Creek last year and struggled….if the shoe were on the other foot and IU lost VJ3 last year, we would not have won 10 games.

    If we are to be good, competitive, and fight for a tourney birth somewhere…our nucleus need to be on the court …Mo, Verdell, and Christian….our bigs need to rebound, block shots, help on D, foul people, make lay ups, and dunk the ball.

  • Outoftheloop

    I have never heard of a coach or staff person for IU basketball named “Vern”, don't abuse the inside information privilege as McCloud did!

  • johnny

    I hope you know what I mean by being a “ball stopper” and a “ball mover” These were some of Coach Knights teachings.
    A ball stopper is someone who either holds the ball, tries to dribble too much to get a shot or simply doesn’t pass the ball to the open man.
    A ball Mover is a player who moves the ball up the court, passing to the open man and is ready to shoot the ball when open. I believe Hulls is a ball mover and VJ is a ball stopper. Although I like both players, being a ball mover is more valuable to this team.

  • Outoftheloop

    Stop! I said nothing about race! I did NOT say that Steve Nash was not athletic, he obviously is. I DID say: “Smart with an ever expanding array of tricky shots that go in and even trickier passes that lead to baskets overcomes size and “athleticism” 99 out of 100 times!” This is exactly WHY Rondo has emerged as a top NBA PG this year. He now has a very smart game, with an array of clever shots that go in, and deft passes that produce baskets. Do people still think in old racist terms like “slow white boy”? I am glad I don't know any!

  • Outoftheloop

    Exactly my point!

  • Outoftheloop

    I do think that Nash is quick and I DID NOT say that he was not quick! I am surprised at the old racist stereotypes that people still think in like: “short, slow white boy”. When you saw Nash he was at the peak of his NBA All-Star abilities, and Jordan Hulls was an 18-19 year old freshman. Jordan needs to model his game after Nash's game. In HS Jordan did have a wide variety of shots from 6'-18' and passes for baskets. He is just getting started in college.

  • Outoftheloop

    You sidestepped my question: “do you think that he is a better 'athlete' than Rondo or Jennings?” What was your answer?

  • IUMike4

    Althought I love the analysis, I don’t feel VJ3 is a good option running the point. Hulls took better control over the ball (Hulls- .079 TO/min, VJ3 – .089 TO/min, Rivers – .098 TO/min.) while playing more at the point position. While VJ3 needs to be in the lineup, I think we need Hulls should be the primary ball-handler. This is coming from an ex-baseball player, but it’s a Moneyball approach to basketball. You can’t score if you’re turning the ball over, and that’s been one of the bigger problems in the past two years. Verdell Jones had nearly the same TO per minute as a freshmen while spending more time off the ball. The difference between VJ and Hulls at the point may only account for a possession a game, but that’s also another improved scoring chance for the opposition. 3 games were decided by 1 possession.

    In my opinion, the best lineup would be:
    1. Hulls
    2. VJ3
    3. Mo Creek
    4. CW
    5. Elston

    I also think Watford’s digression at the PF position was attributable to Mo Creek’s absence. Creek was able to crash the boards, score in the paint, as well as spread out the defense. He should be fine at the 4, whether he is a mismatch for other power forwards because of his athleticism or mismatch for small forwards because of his size. Hulls should continue to improve as he becomes more comfortable running the offense, as we saw in the prior year.

  • BornRed

    I realize there isn't any statistical way for me to back this up, but my general feeling is that Rivers spent more time as the primary ballhandler. After Creek went out, Jones spent a lot of time as the #2 and even with Creek I think he played as a 3rd guard a lot.

    I won't argue that Jones shouldn't be on the court, because he certainly should. However, I think there is a strong possibility that we still see a lot of 3 guard lineups – so in that situation, who do you prefer as the primary ballhandler?

  • http://twitter.com/BGleas Brian Gleason

    Sorry I'm not answering all of your questions, although you failed to acknowledge my answer that Nash indeed does have a pretty athletic background.

    Do I think Nash is a better athlete than Rondo? No, but Rondo might be the most athletic player in the NBA. I haven't seen enough of Jennings to know.

    I can tell you this, I know one of the more prominent GM's in the NBA, a guy that has more than one ring on his hand, and he has an athleticism/conditioning drill he runs every year with all the draft prospects, and as of 2006 (the last time i saw the drill run) Steve Nash still held the record in it. Was Nash 18-19 no, but he was probably 22 and it was well before anyone knew he'd be a 2-time MVP.

    Question for you, were you a Santa Clara season ticket holder in the early 90's? You seem pretty sure of what Nash's athleticism was like back then.

  • http://twitter.com/BGleas Brian Gleason

    What are you talking about? Nobody called you racist, get a grip.

  • Hoosier_hampton

    Did I get on the wrong IU site? Whats goin on here?

  • http://www.insidethehall.com/ Alex Bozich

    Let's keep the conversation on topic.

  • http://twitter.com/BGleas Brian Gleason

    I have no idea what is going on here :)

  • illinoishoosier

    I really like your post and I hope you are right. He is just one of those players that makes special things happen. However, if Rivers is to start, that means he has figured it out. I don't believe Crean will put up with the stuff he did early in the year last year at all this year. If you do have Hulls coming in on the second squad, they automatically have a leader and someone who can score. I am still a firm believer that it doesn't matter who starts, it's who finishes.

  • Q95

    can't wait for the season to begin and don't care who starts. all i know is we are going to see significant improvement this year as everyone settles into their role. top to bottom, we have a lot of talent that will definately show as this group matures. trust me, this is the year we get ourselves over the hump.

  • FWHoosier

    This simple question of who will start at the PG position has sparked some great debate here and Jordy Hulls seems to be at the center of most of it. Noone seems to know what to make of his game or at least everyone has a different opinion about what he can or cannot do. He certainly seems to have a very avid group of supporters who defend him staunchly. I wouldn't want to run against him for Class President.

    On the court, he is a good shooter, a great passer, and has decent basketball awareness. However, we all realize that he lacks certain physical attributes. He lacks length and lateral foot speed, which puts him at a distinct disadvantage, particularly on defense. Added strength and good positioning on the floor can make up for some of his weakneses and he seems driven to improve and to win. So, I can certainly understand those that swear by JH as the future starting PG for the Hoosiers. I am just not one of those people.

    I wish all the best for Jordy and hope he continues to compete and offer leadership for the team, but I hope that VJ proves to be the better point guard. VJ is one of the top players on the team and he needs to be on the floor alongside Creek. The truth is that Hulls will never be 6'5″ with long arms. Hulls might be able to marginally improve his foot speed, but he will never have the atheleticism of VJ.

    VJ has far more potential at the point than Hulls will ever have. VJ can improve his floor awareness and handle. His outside shot is better than most give him credit for but it can still be improved through practice. VJ has the physical skills to be a solid defender. VJ was only behind Rivers in rebounding from a guard position. He fits better into an offense focused on transition and the dribble drive.

    VJ has put a lot of hard work into getting better each season and I expect he will keep it up. He will be a much better PG this year, especially when he has other offensive options spreading the floor and preventing the entire defense from collapsing on him. This past year, VJ essentially took the offense on his back with little support from his teammates. He was also proving to be a vocal leader on the floor as the season progressed. I hope that his hard work will pay off and he earns the PG spot over Hulls.

    Having said that, I think the reality is that no one player will lock down the PG position yet and it will be a committee effort, much like it was last year, with Hulls getting time and some minutes to Rivers (though I expect JR to see more minutes in the 3 as a defensive specialist). VJ, being the versatile player that he is, will move around to the 2 and 3. But, in the end, the upside on VJ as a starting PG is much higher than any plateau that Hulls can reach. I hope the competition compels VJ to new heights for the betterment of the team.

  • Kelin Blab

    I think if we had lost VJ3 it would have been tougher is the loss of his leadership, not vocally, but he was the one proven guy who was willing to take big shots and his teammates looked for him to do so. Creek wasn't there yet and being a frosh, would have made it tough. Not to mention, you lose VJ, you get more P/T for JR and not sure if that would have helped…..

    I love Hulls, to me he is the best PG and a line up of Hulls, VJ, MO, Christian, and Elston makes me happy too….the more weapons the better…

  • johnny

    Hulls may not be the point, but if he isn't he will be on the floor as a 2. VJIII can't hold a candle to him in regards to leadership on the court. The problem with VJIII being the point is that he is always looking for his own shot. Point guards are usually pass first. There are ball stoppers and ball movers. Hulls is a ball mover; VJIII a ball stopper. Meaning that when the ball is passed to him, he dribbles, dribbles, dribbles, and looks to shoot instead of looking to set up a shooter. The good thing about Hulls is that he can get the ball in the shooters hand at the precise time. (ask his friend MO creek) Also, Hulls is willing to give it up where as you have VJIII who thinks he has to do it all. I give credit to VJIII for stepping up when nobody else has, but he can't make good decisions down the stretch especially at point. Hulls can see the floor, is willing to give up a good shot for a great one, is a leader and will see the floor a ton this year…………….

  • Kelin Blab

    Johnny that is good stuff….ball stopper and mover. Hulls has been a ball mover since high school and has proved he can run a team effectively and efficiently.

  • marcusgresham

    I think by the time he graduates Capobianco will be a solid contributor. He may never be a star, but I think he'll be valuable just for his effort, attitude, and willingness to get dirty.

  • marcusgresham

    Are you saying he'll shoot 50% from the field in general, or on his 3-pointers? If you're saying he'll do it on his threes, I'd have to think you're greatly exaggerating. Even shooting 50% on field goals is impressive for a guard.

  • WestCoast Hoosier

    I start with questions first. I think you need to answer these to pick a lineup.

    How will Guy-Marc Michel adjust to the Big Ten and play? I doubt he'll be ready to start in the Big Ten.
    How will Victor Oladipo adjust to college and play? Ditto.
    How will Will Sheehee adjust to college and play? Ditto.
    How will Maurice Creek's knee be? Will he be back to prior form? Will the layoff hurt? I hope he'll be back.
    How will Matt Roth's foot be? Will he be back to prior form? Will the layoff hurt? I hope he'll be back.
    Will Tom Pritchard continue his decline or improve? I hlpe for the best, but expect continuation. I'd recommend hypnosis.
    Who else will show improvement/fall back?

    Until those are answered, this is all major league guesswork, but if I had to guess, I'd go with:
    Michel
    Elston
    Watford
    Creek (if he has recovered)
    VJIII

  • Dmglotz

    Jeremiah will be handling the ball at least as much if not more than Jordy or VJ3. JR is one heck of a defensive player and that will be a big reason he will get the nod. The reason why JR’s points tailed off as the season went along last year is because our opponents realized the only way he could score is to drive to the basket. Defenses started taking away his driving ability but he continued to force it in (causing TOs) because he felt the team needed him to score. This year will be different. JR will not feel as much pressure to score and can run the point more efficiently and score when the opportunity presents itself. He will be our main PG!

  • WatchClosely

    yes, I believe he will shoot 50% from 3 point land. It is impressive… have you seen the kid shoot? Once he can transfer what happens in practice to game situations, it will be lights out. In Crean’s 3 point drill, he hit 77 (an all-time record for TC everywhere he’s been), 49 of his last 50. Unguarded, uncontested… but still quick, tired shots. Come watch a practice, it is a beautiful thing. He had a “bad” year shooting the ball and hit 40%. Adjusting to different balls, different arenas, different atmospheres… I’d say he did okay, but, he has a short learning curve… watch out this year. Plus he will only take “good” shots… Crean has told him 10 shots per game… it doesn’t take long to see where your weapons are. I’m not saying he is all-everything… not even our best player (if that can be measured). I’m just saying he brings consistency, structure, intelligence, and tenacity to the team on the floor.

  • http://www.prinsportsblog.com BGleas

    The reason people think Hulls is not athletic has nothing to do with being a 6 foot white kid, it's because he couldn't get past anyone last year, he couldn't penetrate at all. VJIII is actually really good at getting into the paint for his nice mid-range jumper.

    I do expect Hulls to get better at that with experience and hard work this offseason, but he didn't show that ability last season, and that's all many of us have to go on.

  • http://www.prinsportsblog.com BGleas

    I tend to lean towards FWHoosier's point of view on this, at least by the evidence we saw last season from Hulls. But, my overall basketball philosophy is more inline with your “ball-mover” “ball-stopper” points.

    So, with that said, if Jordan Hulls can develop and demonstrate at this level that he can be an offensive threat beyond just spotting up, then I'm all for him being the point, and I think Indiana is better off for it.

    But, if he's simply going to be a point guard that's sole job is to get the ball across half court and then go stand in the corner, which is what he did last season, then I don't think it works. He has to figure out how to get into the paint and not only create, but find a way to finish, if he's going to be a successful point guard that can really run and command the team.

    He did not show that ability last season, but the good news is that he was only a freshmen, and he can certainly develop it through experience and hard work. I actually really hope he develops those skills because it would be great for IU, but he has to prove it first.

  • eph521

    I'm not sure we remember Roth as a superstar, rather we realize the value of a 3-point threat on the perimeter and how it affects the rest of the offense. We missed that last year. I'll give you the fact that with Creek in the game that the need for a guy like Roth diminishes, but I think the consensus is that a role player like Roth can pay dividends for the entire team. No illusions as to Roth's overall talent compared to others… but when used appropriately he can make a difference. I say the more 3-point weapons we have the better.

  • JerryCT

    After 96 posts I am finally declaring myself for Rivers based largely on agreeing with you BGLEAS.

    On a scale from 1 to 10 on how important is a PG in the dribble drive scheme I rate the PG position a 3 or 4 since ALL players but one are ball handlers and drivers. From what we saw last year Hulls is the least likely to get deep in the lane, finish around the hole or take a contested shot in mid range. His passing is superior but his worth is limited in dimension and in that sense is a “play stopper” if not a ball stopper.

    Adding to the above reasoning the dribble drive offense in half court usually started from a failed fast break attempt in the first 5 – 7 seconds of the possession. In this first 5 sec Rivers is by far the most suited to rebound and push it hard and fast.

    If you ask yourself “what does a PG have to do under CTC ?”

    1. Get stops on D to initiate the break
    2. Rebound on D big time
    3. Push it like crazy while looking up court
    4. Drive to the basket to
    a) finish at the rim
    b) draw a foul
    c) dump to the offside big
    d) kick for a 3
    e) take mid range shot in the lane in traffic

    Then I say VJ3 is best at the dump down and the shot in traffic but Rivers is the best at the rest. Hulls is best “taking ” the 3 but not “creating” the 3.

  • JerryCT

    BTW I would prefer a different kind of offense that takes advantage of Hulls at the point such as the FLEX which is a motion offense with set plays vs free lance rules. He could be dynamite in this framework

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